Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Decreased risk of non-influenza respiratory infection after influenza B virus infection in children.

Author(s): Tsang TK, Du RQR, Fang VJ, Lau EHY, Chan KH, Chu DKW, Ip DKM, Peiris JSM, Leung GM, Cauchemez S, Cowling BJJournal: Epidemiol InfectPMID: 38584132 July 2024

Previous studies suggest that influenza virus infection may provide temporary non-specific immunity and hence lower the risk of non-influenza respiratory…

Addendum: Estimating clinical severity of COVID-19 from the transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China.

Author(s): Wu JT, Leung K, Kishore N, Niehus R, De Salazar PM, Cowling BJ, Lipsitch M, Leung GMJournal: Nat MedPMID: 32661399 May 2020

On 17 April 2020, the Wuhan Municipal Health Commission revised the official COVID-19 death counts in Wuhan up by 1,290…

Estimating clinical severity of COVID-19 from the transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China.

Author(s): Wu JT, Leung K, Bushman M, Kishore N, Niehus R, De Salazar PM, Cowling BJ, Lipsitch M, Leung GMJournal: Nat MedPMID: 32284616 March 2020

As of 29 February 2020 there were 79,394 confirmed cases and 2,838 deaths from COVID-19 in mainland China. Of these,…

Fractional dosing of yellow fever vaccine to extend supply: a modelling study.

Author(s): Wu JT, Peak CM, Leung GM, Lipsitch MJournal: LancetPMID: 27837923 December 2016

The ongoing yellow fever epidemic in Angola strains the global vaccine supply, prompting WHO to adopt dose sparing for its…

Nuanced risk assessment for emerging infectious diseases.

Author(s): Fisman DN, Leung GM, Lipsitch MJournal: LancetPMID: 24439726 January 2014

Improving the evidence base for decision making during a pandemic: the example of 2009 influenza A/H1N1.

Author(s): Lipsitch M, Finelli L, Heffernan RT, Leung GM, Redd SC, 2009 H1n1 Surveillance Group.Journal: Biosecur BioterrorPMID: 21612363 June 2011

This article synthesizes and extends discussions held during an international meeting on "Surveillance for Decision Making: The Example of 2009…

Studies needed to address public health challenges of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: insights from modeling.

Author(s): Van Kerkhove MD, Asikainen T, Becker NG, Bjorge S, Desenclos JC, dos Santos T, Fraser C, Leung GM, Lipsitch M, Longini IM Jr, McBryde ES, Roth CE, Shay DK, Smith DJ, Wallinga J, White PJ, Ferguson NM, Riley S, WHO Informal Network for Mathematical Modelling for Pandemic Influenza H1N1 2009 (Working Group on Data Needs).Journal: PLoS MedPMID: 20532237 June 2010

In light of the 2009 influenza pandemic and potential future pandemics, Maria Van Kerkhove and colleagues anticipate six public health…

Viral shedding and clinical illness in naturally acquired influenza virus infections.

Author(s): Lau LL, Cowling BJ, Fang VJ, Chan KH, Lau EH, Lipsitch M, Cheng CK, Houck PM, Uyeki TM, Peiris JS, Leung GMJournal: J Infect DisPMID: 20377412 May 2010

Volunteer challenge studies have provided detailed data on viral shedding from the respiratory tract before and through the course of…

How to maintain surveillance for novel influenza A H1N1 when there are too many cases to count.

Author(s): Lipsitch M, Hayden FG, Cowling BJ, Leung GMJournal: LancetPMID: 19679345 October 2009