Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Vaccine nationalism and the dynamics and control of SARS-CoV-2

Author(s): Wagner CE, Saad-Roy CM, Morris SE, Baker RE, Mina MJ, Farrar J, Holmes EC, Pybus OG, Graham AL, Emanuel EJ, Levin SA, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BTJournal: medRxiv June 2021

Vaccines provide powerful tools to mitigate the enormous public health and economic costs that the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic continues to…

Partial immunity and SARS-CoV-2 mutations-Response.

Author(s): Saad-Roy CM, Morris SE, Metcalf CJE, Mina MJ, Baker RE, Farrar J, Holmes EC, Pybus OG, Graham AL, Levin SA, Grenfell BT, Wagner CEJournal: SciencePMID: 33888633 April 2021

Epidemiological and evolutionary considerations of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine dosing regimes.

Author(s): Saad-Roy CM, Morris SE, Metcalf CJE, Mina MJ, Baker RE, Farrar J, Holmes EC, Pybus OG, Graham AL, Levin SA, Grenfell BT, Wagner CEJournal: SciencePMID: 33688062 March 2021

In the face of vaccine dose shortages and logistical challenges, various deployment strategies are being proposed to increase population immunity…

The use of mobile phone data to inform analysis of COVID-19 pandemic epidemiology.

Author(s): Grantz KH, Meredith HR, Cummings DAT, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BT, Giles JR, Mehta S, Solomon S, Labrique A, Kishore N, Buckee CO, Wesolowski AJournal: Nat CommunPMID: 32999287 September 2020

The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has heightened discussion of the use of mobile phone data in outbreak response.…

Immune life history, vaccination, and the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 over the next 5 years.

Author(s): Saad-Roy CM, Wagner CE, Baker RE, Morris SE, Farrar J, Graham AL, Levin SA, Mina MJ, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BTJournal: SciencePMID: 32958581 September 2020

The future trajectory of the Covid-19 pandemic hinges on the dynamics of adaptive immunity against SARS-CoV2; however, salient features of…

Waning immunity and re-emergence of measles and mumps in the vaccine era.

Author(s): Yang L, Grenfell BT, Mina MJJournal: Curr Opin VirolPMID: 32634672 July 2020

Vaccine-preventable diseases (VPD) including measles and mumps have been re-emerging in countries with sustained high vaccine coverage. For mumps, waning…

A Global lmmunological Observatory to meet a time of pandemics.

Author(s): Mina MJ, Metcalf CJE, McDermott AB, Douek DC, Farrar J, Grenfell BTJournal: ElifePMID: 32510329 June 2020

SARS-CoV-2 presents an unprecedented international challenge, but it will not be the last such threat. Here, we argue that the…

Identifying Hotspots of Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis Transmission Using Spatial and Molecular Genetic Data.

Author(s): Zelner JL, Murray MB, Becerra MC, Galea J, Lecca L, Calderon R, Yataco R, Contreras C, Zhang Z, Manjourides J, Grenfell BT, Cohen TJournal: J Infect DisPMID: 26175455 January 2016

We aimed to identify and determine the etiology of "hotspots" of concentrated multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-tuberculosis) risk in Lima, Peru.

Quantifying seasonal population fluxes driving rubella transmission dynamics using mobile phone data.

Author(s): Wesolowski A, Metcalf CJ, Eagle N, Kombich J, Grenfell BT, Bjørnstad ON, Lessler J, Tatem AJ, Buckee COJournal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S APMID: 26283349 September 2015

Changing patterns of human aggregation are thought to drive annual and multiannual outbreaks of infectious diseases, but the paucity of…

Absolute humidity and the seasonal onset of influenza in the continental United States.

Author(s): Shaman J, Pitzer VE, Viboud C, Grenfell BT, Lipsitch MJournal: PLoS BiolPMID: 20186267 February 2010

Much of the observed wintertime increase of mortality in temperate regions is attributed to seasonal influenza. A recent reanalysis of…