Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Evaluating the contributions of strategies to prevent SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the healthcare setting: a modelling study.

Author(s): Qiu X, Miller JC, MacFadden DR, Hanage WPJournal: BMJ OpenPMID: 33653758 March 2021

Since its onset, the COVID-19 pandemic has caused significant morbidity and mortality worldwide, with particularly severe outcomes in healthcare institutions…

The risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the healthcare setting and potential impact of cohorting strategies.

Author(s): Miller JC, Qiu X, Hanage WPJournal: medRxivPMID: 32511644 April 2020

The threat of the COVID-19 pandemic of SARS-CoV-2 virus has grown since its start late last year. A customary response…

Cocirculation of infectious diseases on networks.

Author(s): Miller JCJournal: Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter PhysPMID: 23848616 June 2013

We consider multiple diseases spreading in a static configuration model network. We make standard assumptions that infection transmits from neighbor…

Cholera modeling: challenges to quantitative analysis and predicting the impact of interventions.

Author(s): Grad YH, Miller JC, Lipsitch MJournal: EpidemiologyPMID: 22659546 July 2012

Several mathematical models of epidemic cholera have recently been proposed in response to outbreaks in Zimbabwe and Haiti. These models…

Predicting the epidemic sizes of influenza A/H1N1, A/H3N2, and B: a statistical method.

Author(s): Goldstein E, Cobey S, Takahashi S, Miller JC, Lipsitch MJournal: PLoS MedPMID: 21750666 July 2011

The epidemic sizes of influenza A/H3N2, A/H1N1, and B infections vary from year to year in the United States. We…

Mobile messaging as surveillance tool during pandemic (H1N1) 2009, Mexico.

Author(s): Lajous M, Danon L, López-Ridaura R, Astley CM, Miller JC, Dowell SF, O'Hagan JJ, Goldstein E, Lipsitch MJournal: Emerg Infect DisPMID: 20735942 September 2010

Oseltamivir for treatment and prevention of pandemic influenza A/H1N1 virus infection in households, Milwaukee, 2009.

Author(s): Goldstein E, Cowling BJ, O'Hagan JJ, Danon L, Fang VJ, Hagy A, Miller JC, Reshef D, Robins J, Biedrzycki P, Lipsitch MJournal: BMC Infect DisPMID: 20642862 July 2010

During an influenza pandemic, a substantial proportion of transmission is thought to occur in households. We used data on influenza…

Distribution of vaccine/antivirals and the ‘least spread line’ in a stratified population.

Author(s): Goldstein E, Apolloni A, Lewis B, Miller JC, Macauley M, Eubank S, Lipsitch M, Wallinga JJournal: J R Soc InterfacePMID: 19828505 May 2010

We describe a prioritization scheme for an allocation of a sizeable quantity of vaccine or antivirals in a stratified population.…

Student behavior during a school closure caused by pandemic influenza A/H1N1.

Author(s): Miller JC, Danon L, O'Hagan JJ, Goldstein E, Lajous M, Lipsitch MJournal: PLoS OnePMID: 20463960 May 2010

Many schools were temporarily closed in response to outbreaks of the recently emerged pandemic influenza A/H1N1 virus. The effectiveness of…

Pre-dispensing of antivirals to high-risk individuals in an influenza pandemic.

Author(s): Goldstein E, Miller JC, O'Hagan JJ, Lipsitch MJournal: Influenza Other Respir VirusesPMID: 20167050 March 2010

We consider the net benefits of pre-dispensing antivirals to high-risk individuals during an influenza pandemic, where the measure of the…