Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

A nowcasting framework for correcting for reporting delays in malaria surveillance.

Author(s): Menkir TF, Cox H, Poirier C, Saul M, Jones-Weekes S, Clementson C, M de Salazar P, Santillana M, Buckee COJournal: PLoS Comput BiolPMID: 34784353 November 2021

Time lags in reporting to national surveillance systems represent a major barrier for the control of infectious diseases, preventing timely…

Modeling the impact of racial and ethnic disparities on COVID-19 epidemic dynamics.

Author(s): Ma KC, Menkir TF, Kissler SM, Grad YH, Lipsitch MJournal: ElifePMID: 34003112 May 2021

The impact of variable infection risk by race and ethnicity on the dynamics of SARS CoV-2 spread is largely unknown.

Estimating internationally imported cases during the early COVID-19 pandemic.

Author(s): Menkir TF, Chin T, Hay JA, Surface ED, De Salazar PM, Buckee CO, Watts A, Khan K, Sherbo R, Yan AWC, Mina MJ, Lipsitch M, Niehus RJournal: Nat CommunPMID: 33436574 January 2021

Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, predictions of international outbreaks were largely based on imported cases from Wuhan, China, potentially missing…