Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

The role of environmental factors on transmission rates of the COVID-19 outbreak: an initial assessment in two spatial scales.

Author(s): Poirier C, Luo W, Majumder MS, Liu D, Mandl KD, Mooring TA, Santillana MJournal: Sci RepPMID: 33046802 October 2020

First identified in Wuhan, China, in December 2019, a novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) has affected over 16,800,000 people worldwide as of…

Real-time forecasting of the COVID-19 outbreak in Chinese provinces: Machine learning approach using novel digital data and estimates from mechanistic models.

Author(s): Poirier C, Liu D, Clemente L, Ding X, Chinazzi M, Vespignani A, Santillana MJournal: J Med Internet ResPMID: 32730217 July 2020

The inherent difficulty to identify and monitor emerging outbreaks caused by novel pathogens can lead to their rapid spread; and…

A machine learning methodology for real-time forecasting of the 2019-2020 COVID-19 outbreak using Internet searches, news alerts, and estimates from mechanistic models.

Author(s): Liu D, Clemente L, Poirier C, Ding X, Chinazzi M, Vespignani A, Santillana MJournal: ArXivPMID: 32550248 April 2020

We present a timely and novel methodology that combines disease estimates from mechanistic models with digital traces, via interpretable machine-learning…