Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Modelling the epidemiologic impact of achieving UNAIDS fast-track 90-90-90 and 95-95-95 targets in South Africa.

Author(s): Abuelezam NN, McCormick AW, Surface ED, Fussell T, Freedberg KA, Lipsitch M, Seage GRJournal: Epidemiol InfectPMID: 30869008 August 2019

UNAIDS established fast-track targets of 73% and 86% viral suppression among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-positive individuals by 2020 and 2030,…

Use of an individual-based model of pneumococcal carriage for planning a randomized trial of a whole-cell vaccine.

Author(s): Cai FY, Fussell T, Cobey S, Lipsitch MJournal: PLoS Comput BiolPMID: 30273332 October 2018

For encapsulated bacteria such as Streptococcus pneumoniae, asymptomatic carriage is more common and longer in duration than disease, and hence…

Displacement of sexual partnerships in trials of sexual behavior interventions: A model-based assessment of consequences.

Author(s): McCormick AW, Abuelezam NN, Fussell T, Seage GR 3rd, Lipsitch MJournal: EpidemicsPMID: 28416219 September 2017

We investigated the impact of the displacement of sexual activity from adherent recipients of an intervention to others within or…

Can the Heterosexual HIV Epidemic be Eliminated in South Africa Using Combination Prevention? A Modeling Analysis.

Author(s): Abuelezam NN, McCormick AW, Fussell T, Afriyie AN, Wood R, DeGruttola V, Freedberg KA, Lipsitch M, Seage GR 3rdJournal: Am J EpidemiolPMID: 27416841 August 2016

Little is known about how combining efficacious interventions for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) prevention could lead to HIV elimination. We…