Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Infectious disease surveillance needs for the United States: lessons from Covid-19.

Author(s): Lipsitch M, Bassett MT, Brownstein JS, Elliott P, Eyre D, Grabowski MK, Hay JA, Johansson MA, Kissler SM, Larremore DB, Layden JE, Lessler J, Lynfield R, MacCannell D, Madoff LC, Metcalf CJE, Meyers LA, Ofori SK, Quinn C, Bento AI, Reich NG, Riley S, Rosenfeld R, Samore MH, Sampath R, Slayton RB, Swerdlow DL, Truelove S, Varma JK, Grad YHJournal: Front Public HealthPMID: 39076420 July 2024

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need to upgrade systems for infectious disease surveillance and forecasting and modeling of the…

Characterizing human mobility patterns in rural settings of sub-Saharan Africa.

Author(s): Meredith HR, Giles JR, Perez-Saez J, Mande T, Rinaldo A, Mutembo S, Kabalo EN, Makungo K, Buckee CO, Tatem AJ, Metcalf CJE, Wesolowski AJournal: ElifePMID: 34533456 September 2021

Human mobility is a core component of human behavior and its quantification is critical for understanding its impact on infectious…

Vaccine nationalism and the dynamics and control of SARS-CoV-2

Author(s): Wagner CE, Saad-Roy CM, Morris SE, Baker RE, Mina MJ, Farrar J, Holmes EC, Pybus OG, Graham AL, Emanuel EJ, Levin SA, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BTJournal: SciencePMID: 34404735 August 2021

Vaccines provide powerful tools to mitigate the enormous public health and economic costs that the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic continues to…

Partial immunity and SARS-CoV-2 mutations-Response.

Author(s): Saad-Roy CM, Morris SE, Metcalf CJE, Mina MJ, Baker RE, Farrar J, Holmes EC, Pybus OG, Graham AL, Levin SA, Grenfell BT, Wagner CEJournal: SciencePMID: 33888633 April 2021

Epidemiological and evolutionary considerations of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine dosing regimes.

Author(s): Saad-Roy CM, Morris SE, Metcalf CJE, Mina MJ, Baker RE, Farrar J, Holmes EC, Pybus OG, Graham AL, Levin SA, Grenfell BT, Wagner CEJournal: SciencePMID: 33688062 March 2021

In the face of vaccine dose shortages and logistical challenges, various deployment strategies are being proposed to increase population immunity…

Estimating SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence and epidemiological parameters with uncertainty from serological surveys.

Author(s): Larremore DB, Fosdick BK, Bubar KM, Zhang S, Kissler SM, Metcalf CJE, Buckee C, Grad YHJournal: ElifePMID: 33666169 March 2021

Establishing how many people have been infected by SARS-CoV-2 remains an urgent priority for controlling the COVID-19 pandemic. Serological tests…

The use of mobile phone data to inform analysis of COVID-19 pandemic epidemiology.

Author(s): Grantz KH, Meredith HR, Cummings DAT, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BT, Giles JR, Mehta S, Solomon S, Labrique A, Kishore N, Buckee CO, Wesolowski AJournal: Nat CommunPMID: 32999287 September 2020

The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has heightened discussion of the use of mobile phone data in outbreak response.…

Immune life history, vaccination, and the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 over the next 5 years.

Author(s): Saad-Roy CM, Wagner CE, Baker RE, Morris SE, Farrar J, Graham AL, Levin SA, Mina MJ, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BTJournal: SciencePMID: 32958581 September 2020

The future trajectory of the Covid-19 pandemic hinges on the dynamics of adaptive immunity against SARS-CoV2; however, salient features of…

A Global lmmunological Observatory to meet a time of pandemics.

Author(s): Mina MJ, Metcalf CJE, McDermott AB, Douek DC, Farrar J, Grenfell BTJournal: ElifePMID: 32510329 June 2020

SARS-CoV-2 presents an unprecedented international challenge, but it will not be the last such threat. Here, we argue that the…

Aggregated mobility data could help fight COVID-19.

Author(s): Buckee CO, Balsari S, Chan J, Crosas M, Grad YH, Grenfell B, Halloran ME, Kraemer MUG, Lipsitch M, Metcalf CJE, Meyers LA, Perkins TA, Santillana M, Scarpino SV, Viboud C, Wesolowski A, Schroeder AJournal: SciencePMID: 32205458 March 2020

As the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) epidemic worsens, understanding the effectiveness of public messaging and large-scale social distancing interventions is critical.…