Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Correction: Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt.

Author(s): Gostic KM, McGough L, Baskerville EB, Abbott S, Joshi K, Tedijanto C, Kahn R, Niehus R, Hay JA, De Salazar PM, Hellewell J, Meakin S, Munday JD, Bosse NI, Sherrat K, Thompson RN, White LF, Huisman JS, Scire J, Bonhoeffer S, Stadler T, Wallinga J, Funk S, Lipsitch M, Cobey SJournal: PLoS Comput BiolPMID: 34879070 December 2021

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008409.].

Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt.

Author(s): Gostic KM, McGough L, Baskerville EB, Abbott S, Joshi K, Tedijanto C, Kahn R, Niehus R, Hay JA, De Salazar PM, Hellewell J, Meakin S, Munday JD, Bosse NI, Sherrat K, Thompson RN, White LF, Huisman JS, Scire J, Bonhoeffer S, Stadler T, Wallinga J, Funk S, Lipsitch M, Cobey SJournal: PLoS Comput BiolPMID: 33301457 December 2020

Estimation of the effective reproductive number Rt is important for detecting changes in disease transmission over time. During the Coronavirus…

Population effect of influenza vaccination under co-circulation of non-vaccine variants and the case for a bivalent A/H3N2 vaccine component.

Author(s): Worby CJ, Wallinga J, Lipsitch M, Goldstein EJournal: EpidemicsPMID: 28262588 June 2017

Some past epidemics of different influenza subtypes (particularly A/H3N2) in the US saw co-circulation of vaccine-type and variant strains. There…

On the relative role of different age groups in influenza epidemics.

Author(s): Worby CJ, Chaves SS, Wallinga J, Lipsitch M, Finelli L, Goldstein EJournal: EpidemicsPMID: 26097505 December 2015

The identification of key "driver" groups in influenza epidemics is of much interest for the implementation of effective public health…

Utilizing syndromic surveillance data for estimating levels of influenza circulation.

Author(s): Patterson-Lomba O, Van Noort S, Cowling BJ, Wallinga J, Gomes MG, Lipsitch M, Goldstein EJournal: Am J EpidemiolPMID: 24748609 June 2014

The availability of weekly Web-based participatory surveillance data on self-reported influenza-like illness (ILI), defined here as self-reported fever and cough/sore…

Vaccine allocation in a declining epidemic.

Author(s): Goldstein E, Wallinga J, Lipsitch MJournal: J R Soc InterfacePMID: 22772378 November 2012

Sizeable quantities of 2009 pandemic influenza A/H1N1 (H1N1pdm) vaccine in the USA became available at the end of 2009 when…

Studies needed to address public health challenges of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: insights from modeling.

Author(s): Van Kerkhove MD, Asikainen T, Becker NG, Bjorge S, Desenclos JC, dos Santos T, Fraser C, Leung GM, Lipsitch M, Longini IM Jr, McBryde ES, Roth CE, Shay DK, Smith DJ, Wallinga J, White PJ, Ferguson NM, Riley S, WHO Informal Network for Mathematical Modelling for Pandemic Influenza H1N1 2009 (Working Group on Data Needs).Journal: PLoS MedPMID: 20532237 June 2010

In light of the 2009 influenza pandemic and potential future pandemics, Maria Van Kerkhove and colleagues anticipate six public health…

Distribution of vaccine/antivirals and the ‘least spread line’ in a stratified population.

Author(s): Goldstein E, Apolloni A, Lewis B, Miller JC, Macauley M, Eubank S, Lipsitch M, Wallinga JJournal: J R Soc InterfacePMID: 19828505 May 2010

We describe a prioritization scheme for an allocation of a sizeable quantity of vaccine or antivirals in a stratified population.…

Optimizing infectious disease interventions during an emerging epidemic.

Author(s): Wallinga J, van Boven M, Lipsitch MJournal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S APMID: 20080777 January 2010

The emergence and global impact of the novel influenza A(H1N1)v highlights the continuous threat to public health posed by a…

Estimation of the reproductive number and the serial interval in early phase of the 2009 influenza A/H1N1 pandemic in the USA.

Author(s): White LF, Wallinga J, Finelli L, Reed C, Riley S, Lipsitch M, Pagano MJournal: Influenza Other Respir VirusesPMID: 19903209 November 2009

The United States was the second country to have a major outbreak of novel influenza A/H1N1 in what has become…