Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Machine learning approaches to predicting no-shows in pediatric medical appointment.

Author(s): Liu D, Shin WY, Sprecher E, Conroy K, Santiago O, Wachtel G, Santillana MJournal: NPJ Digit MedPMID: 35444260 April 2022

Patients' no-shows, scheduled but unattended medical appointments, have a direct negative impact on patients' health, due to discontinuity of treatment…

Near real-time surveillance of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic with incomplete data.

Author(s): De Salazar PM, Lu F, Hay JA, Gomez-Barroso D, Fernandez-Navarro P, Martinez EV, Astray-Mochales J, Amillategui R, Garcia-Fulgueiras A, Chirlaque MD, Sanchez-Migallon A, Larrauri A, Sierra MJ, Lipsitch M, Simon F, Santillana M, Hernán MAJournal: PLoS Comput BiolPMID: 35358171 March 2022

When responding to infectious disease outbreaks, rapid and accurate estimation of the epidemic trajectory is critical. However, two common data…

Prevalence of Firearm Ownership Among Individuals With Major Depressive Symptoms.

Author(s): Perlis RH, Simonson MD, Green J, Lin J, Safarpour A, Lunz Trujillo K, Quintana A, Chwe H, Della Volpe J, Ognyanova K, Santillana M, Druckman J, Lazer D, Baum MAJournal: JAMA Netw OpenPMID: 35311961 March 2022

Both major depression and firearm ownership are associated with an increased risk for death by suicide in the United States,…

Predicting dengue incidence leveraging internet-based data sources. A case study in 20 cities in Brazil.

Author(s): Koplewitz G, Lu F, Clemente L, Buckee C, Santillana MJournal: PLoS Negl Trop DisPMID: 35073316 January 2022

The dengue virus affects millions of people every year worldwide, causing large epidemic outbreaks that disrupt people's lives and severely…

Characterizing features of outbreak duration for novel SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern

Author(s): Washburne AD, Hupert N, Kogan N, Hanage W, Santillana MJournal: medRxiv January 2022

Characterizing the dynamics of epidemic trajectories is critical to understanding the potential impacts of emerging outbreaks and to designing appropriate…

Association of Major Depressive Symptoms With Endorsement of COVID-19 Vaccine Misinformation Among US Adults.

Author(s): Perlis RH, Ognyanova K, Santillana M, Lin J, Druckman J, Lazer D, Green J, Simonson M, Baum MA, Della Volpe JJournal: JAMA Netw OpenPMID: 35061036 January 2022

Misinformation about COVID-19 vaccination may contribute substantially to vaccine hesitancy and resistance.

A nowcasting framework for correcting for reporting delays in malaria surveillance.

Author(s): Menkir TF, Cox H, Poirier C, Saul M, Jones-Weekes S, Clementson C, M de Salazar P, Santillana M, Buckee COJournal: PLoS Comput BiolPMID: 34784353 November 2021

Time lags in reporting to national surveillance systems represent a major barrier for the control of infectious diseases, preventing timely…

Association Between Social Media Use and Self-reported Symptoms of Depression in US Adults.

Author(s): Perlis RH, Green J, Simonson M, Ognyanova K, Santillana M, Lin J, Quintana A, Chwe H, Druckman J, Lazer D, Baum MA, Della Volpe JJournal: JAMA Netw OpenPMID: 34812844 November 2021

Some studies suggest that social media use is associated with risk for depression, particularly among children and young adults.

SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations in wastewater foreshadow dynamics and clinical presentation of new COVID-19 cases.

Author(s): Wu F, Xiao A, Zhang J, Moniz K, Endo N, Armas F, Bonneau R, Brown MA, Bushman M, Chai PR, Duvallet C, Erickson TB, Foppe K, Ghaeli N, Gu X, Hanage WP, Huang KH, Lee WL, Matus M, McElroy KA, Nagler J, Rhode SF, Santillana M, Tucker JA, Wuertz S, Zhao S, Thompson J, Alm EJJournal: Sci Total EnvironPMID: 34534872 September 2021

Current estimates of COVID-19 prevalence are largely based on symptomatic, clinically diagnosed cases. The existence of a large number of…

Gender-specificity of resilience in major depressive disorder.

Author(s): Perlis RH, Ognyanova K, Quintana A, Green J, Santillana M, Lin J, Druckman J, Lazer D, Simonson MD, Baum MA, Chwe HJournal: Depress AnxietyPMID: 34370885 August 2021

The major stressors associated with the COVID-19 pandemic provide an opportunity to understand the extent to which protective factors against…