Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Using digital traces to build prospective and real-time county-level early warning systems to anticipate COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States.

Author(s): Stolerman LM, Clemente L, Poirier C, Parag KV, Majumder A, Masyn S, Resch B, Santillana MJournal: Sci AdvPMID: 36652520 January 2023

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) continues to affect the world, and the design of strategies to curb disease outbreaks requires close…

Research Letter: Association between long COVID symptoms and employment status.

Author(s): Perlis RH, Trujillo KL, Safarpour A, Santillana M, Ognyanova K, Druckman J, Lazer DJournal: medRxivPMID: 36415464 November 2022

Symptoms of Coronavirus-19 (COVID-19) infection persist beyond 2 months in a subset of individuals, a phenomenon referred to as long…

Leveraging Serosurveillance and Postmortem Surveillance to Quantify the Impact of COVID-19 in Africa.

Author(s): Kogan NE, Gantt S, Swerdlow D, Viboud C, Semakula M, Lipsitch M, Santillana MJournal: Clin Infect DisPMID: 36196586 October 2022

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a devastating impact on global health, the magnitude of which appears to differ intercontinentally: for…

Prevalence and Correlates of Long COVID Symptoms Among US Adults.

Author(s): Perlis RH, Santillana M, Ognyanova K, Safarpour A, Lunz Trujillo K, Simonson MD, Green J, Quintana A, Druckman J, Baum MA, Lazer DJournal: JAMA Netw OpenPMID: 36301542 October 2022

Persistence of COVID-19 symptoms beyond 2 months, or long COVID, is increasingly recognized as a common sequela of acute infection.

Methods for early characterisation of the severity and dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants: a population-based time series analysis in South Africa.

Author(s): Reichert E, Schaeffer B, Gantt S, Rumpler E, Govender N, Welch R, Shonhiwa AM, Iwu CD, Lamola TM, Moema-Matiea I, Muganhiri D, Hanage W, Santillana M, Jassat W, Cohen C, Swerdlow DJournal: Lancet MicrobePMID: 36057266 August 2022

Assessment of disease severity associated with a novel pathogen or variant provides crucial information needed by public health agencies and…

Prediction of Impending Central Line Associated Bloodstream Infections in Hospitalized Cardiac Patients: Development and Testing of a Machine-Learning Model.

Author(s): Bonello K, Emani S, Sorensen A, Shaw L, Godsay M, Delgado M, Sperotto F, Santillana M, Kheir JNJournal: J Hosp InfectPMID: 35738317 June 2022

While modeling of central line-associated blood stream infection (CLABSI) risk factors is common, models that predict an impending CLABSI in…

Machine learning approaches to predicting no-shows in pediatric medical appointment.

Author(s): Liu D, Shin WY, Sprecher E, Conroy K, Santiago O, Wachtel G, Santillana MJournal: NPJ Digit MedPMID: 35444260 April 2022

Patients' no-shows, scheduled but unattended medical appointments, have a direct negative impact on patients' health, due to discontinuity of treatment…

Near real-time surveillance of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic with incomplete data.

Author(s): De Salazar PM, Lu F, Hay JA, Gomez-Barroso D, Fernandez-Navarro P, Martinez EV, Astray-Mochales J, Amillategui R, Garcia-Fulgueiras A, Chirlaque MD, Sanchez-Migallon A, Larrauri A, Sierra MJ, Lipsitch M, Simon F, Santillana M, Hernán MAJournal: PLoS Comput BiolPMID: 35358171 March 2022

When responding to infectious disease outbreaks, rapid and accurate estimation of the epidemic trajectory is critical. However, two common data…

Prevalence of Firearm Ownership Among Individuals With Major Depressive Symptoms.

Author(s): Perlis RH, Simonson MD, Green J, Lin J, Safarpour A, Lunz Trujillo K, Quintana A, Chwe H, Della Volpe J, Ognyanova K, Santillana M, Druckman J, Lazer D, Baum MAJournal: JAMA Netw OpenPMID: 35311961 March 2022

Both major depression and firearm ownership are associated with an increased risk for death by suicide in the United States,…

Predicting dengue incidence leveraging internet-based data sources. A case study in 20 cities in Brazil.

Author(s): Koplewitz G, Lu F, Clemente L, Buckee C, Santillana MJournal: PLoS Negl Trop DisPMID: 35073316 January 2022

The dengue virus affects millions of people every year worldwide, causing large epidemic outbreaks that disrupt people's lives and severely…