Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Comment on: ‘Antibiotic footprint’ as a communication tool to aid reduction of antibiotic consumption.

Author(s): Lipsitch M, Shaman JJournal: J Antimicrob ChemotherPMID: 31314102 August 2019

We welcome the effort to identify simple, easily communicated measures of antibiotic consumption, of which the antibiotic footprint is one. In…

Inference of seasonal and pandemic influenza transmission dynamics.

Author(s): Yang W, Lipsitch M, Shaman JJournal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S APMID: 25730851 March 2015

The inference of key infectious disease epidemiological parameters is critical for characterizing disease spread and devising prevention and containment measures.…

The US 2009 A(H1N1) influenza epidemic: quantifying the impact of school openings on the reproductive number.

Author(s): Huang KE, Lipsitch M, Shaman J, Goldstein EJournal: EpidemiologyPMID: 24434751 March 2014

There is limited information on differences in the dynamics of influenza transmission during time periods when schools are open compared…

The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-pandemic influenza connection: coincident or causal?

Author(s): Shaman J, Lipsitch MJournal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S APMID: 22308322 February 2013

We find that the four most recent human influenza pandemics (1918, 1957, 1968, and 2009), all of which were first…

Predictors of indoor absolute humidity and estimated effects on influenza virus survival in grade schools.

Author(s): Koep TH, Enders FT, Pierret C, Ekker SC, Krageschmidt D, Neff KL, Lipsitch M, Shaman J, Huskins WCJournal: BMC Infect DisPMID: 23383620 February 2013

Low absolute humidity (AH) has been associated with increased influenza virus survival and transmissibility and the onset of seasonal influenza…

Real-time influenza forecasts during the 2012-2013 season.

Author(s): Shaman J, Karspeck A, Yang W, Tamerius J, Lipsitch MJournal: Nat CommunPMID: 24302074 January 2013

Recently, we developed a seasonal influenza prediction system that uses an advanced data assimilation technique and real-time estimates of influenza…

Absolute humidity and pandemic versus epidemic influenza.

Author(s): Shaman J, Goldstein E, Lipsitch MJournal: Am J EpidemiolPMID: 21081646 January 2011

Experimental and epidemiologic evidence indicates that variations of absolute humidity account for the onset and seasonal cycle of epidemic influenza…

Shortcomings of vitamin D-based model simulations of seasonal influenza.

Author(s): Shaman J, Jeon CY, Giovannucci E, Lipsitch MJournal: PLoS OnePMID: 21677774 January 2011

Seasonal variation in serum concentration of the vitamin D metabolite 25(OH) vitamin D [25(OH)D], which contributes to host immune function,…

Absolute humidity and the seasonal onset of influenza in the continental United States.

Author(s): Shaman J, Pitzer VE, Viboud C, Grenfell BT, Lipsitch MJournal: PLoS BiolPMID: 20186267 February 2010

Much of the observed wintertime increase of mortality in temperate regions is attributed to seasonal influenza. A recent reanalysis of…

Absolute Humidity and the Seasonal Onset of Influenza in the Continental US.

Author(s): Shaman J, Pitzer V, Viboud C, Lipsitch M, Grenfell BJournal: PLoS CurrPMID: 20066155 December 2009

Much of the observed wintertime increase of mortality in temperate regions is attributed to seasonal influenza. A recent re-analysis of…