Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Comment on: ‘Antibiotic footprint’ as a communication tool to aid reduction of antibiotic consumption.

Author(s): Lipsitch M, Shaman JJournal: J Antimicrob ChemotherPMID: 31314102 August 2019

We welcome the effort to identify simple, easily communicated measures of antibiotic consumption, of which the antibiotic footprint is one. In…

Results from the centers for disease control and prevention’s predict the 2013-2014 Influenza Season Challenge.

Author(s): Biggerstaff M, Alper D, Dredze M, Fox S, Fung IC, Hickmann KS, Lewis B, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J, Tsou MH, Velardi P, Vespignani A, Finelli L, Influenza Forecasting Contest Working Group.Journal: BMC Infect DisPMID: 27449080 July 2016

Early insights into the timing of the start, peak, and intensity of the influenza season could be useful in planning…

Transmission network of the 2014-2015 Ebola epidemic in Sierra Leone.

Author(s): Yang W, Zhang W, Kargbo D, Yang R, Chen Y, Chen Z, Kamara A, Kargbo B, Kandula S, Karspeck A, Liu C, Shaman JJournal: J R Soc InterfacePMID: 26559683 November 2015

Understanding the growth and spatial expansion of (re)emerging infectious disease outbreaks, such as Ebola and avian influenza, is critical for…

Impact of School Cycles and Environmental Forcing on the Timing of Pandemic Influenza Activity in Mexican States, May-December 2009.

Author(s): Tamerius J, Viboud C, Shaman J, Chowell GJournal: PLoS Comput BiolPMID: 26291446 August 2015

While a relationship between environmental forcing and influenza transmission has been established in inter-pandemic seasons, the drivers of pandemic influenza…

Forecasting Influenza Epidemics in Hong Kong.

Author(s): Yang W, Cowling BJ, Lau EH, Shaman JJournal: PLoS Comput BiolPMID: 26226185 July 2015

Recent advances in mathematical modeling and inference methodologies have enabled development of systems capable of forecasting seasonal influenza epidemics in…

Inference of seasonal and pandemic influenza transmission dynamics.

Author(s): Yang W, Lipsitch M, Shaman JJournal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S APMID: 25730851 March 2015

The inference of key infectious disease epidemiological parameters is critical for characterizing disease spread and devising prevention and containment measures.…

Inference and forecast of the current west african ebola outbreak in Guinea, sierra leone and liberia.

Author(s): Shaman J, Yang W, Kandula SJournal: PLoS CurrPMID: 25642378 October 2014

The current West African Ebola outbreak poses an unprecedented public health challenge for the world at large. The response of…

Comparison of filtering methods for the modeling and retrospective forecasting of influenza epidemics.

Author(s): Yang W, Karspeck A, Shaman JJournal: PLoS Comput BiolPMID: 24762780 April 2014

A variety of filtering methods enable the recursive estimation of system state variables and inference of model parameters. These methods…

Influenza forecasting in human populations: a scoping review.

Author(s): Chretien JP, George D, Shaman J, Chitale RA, McKenzie FEJournal: PLoS OnePMID: 24714027 April 2014

Forecasts of influenza activity in human populations could help guide key preparedness tasks. We conducted a scoping review to characterize…

The US 2009 A(H1N1) influenza epidemic: quantifying the impact of school openings on the reproductive number.

Author(s): Huang KE, Lipsitch M, Shaman J, Goldstein EJournal: EpidemiologyPMID: 24434751 March 2014

There is limited information on differences in the dynamics of influenza transmission during time periods when schools are open compared…