Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Inference of seasonal and pandemic influenza transmission dynamics.

Author(s): Yang W, Lipsitch M, Shaman JJournal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S APMID: 25730851 March 2015

The inference of key infectious disease epidemiological parameters is critical for characterizing disease spread and devising prevention and containment measures.…

The US 2009 A(H1N1) influenza epidemic: quantifying the impact of school openings on the reproductive number.

Author(s): Huang KE, Lipsitch M, Shaman J, Goldstein EJournal: EpidemiologyPMID: 24434751 March 2014

There is limited information on differences in the dynamics of influenza transmission during time periods when schools are open compared…

Predictors of indoor absolute humidity and estimated effects on influenza virus survival in grade schools.

Author(s): Koep TH, Enders FT, Pierret C, Ekker SC, Krageschmidt D, Neff KL, Lipsitch M, Shaman J, Huskins WCJournal: BMC Infect DisPMID: 23383620 February 2013

Low absolute humidity (AH) has been associated with increased influenza virus survival and transmissibility and the onset of seasonal influenza…

Real-time influenza forecasts during the 2012-2013 season.

Author(s): Shaman J, Karspeck A, Yang W, Tamerius J, Lipsitch MJournal: Nat CommunPMID: 24302074 January 2013

Recently, we developed a seasonal influenza prediction system that uses an advanced data assimilation technique and real-time estimates of influenza…