Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Transmission network of the 2014-2015 Ebola epidemic in Sierra Leone.

Author(s): Yang W, Zhang W, Kargbo D, Yang R, Chen Y, Chen Z, Kamara A, Kargbo B, Kandula S, Karspeck A, Liu C, Shaman JJournal: J R Soc InterfacePMID: 26559683 November 2015

Understanding the growth and spatial expansion of (re)emerging infectious disease outbreaks, such as Ebola and avian influenza, is critical for…

Impact of School Cycles and Environmental Forcing on the Timing of Pandemic Influenza Activity in Mexican States, May-December 2009.

Author(s): Tamerius J, Viboud C, Shaman J, Chowell GJournal: PLoS Comput BiolPMID: 26291446 August 2015

While a relationship between environmental forcing and influenza transmission has been established in inter-pandemic seasons, the drivers of pandemic influenza…

Forecasting Influenza Epidemics in Hong Kong.

Author(s): Yang W, Cowling BJ, Lau EH, Shaman JJournal: PLoS Comput BiolPMID: 26226185 July 2015

Recent advances in mathematical modeling and inference methodologies have enabled development of systems capable of forecasting seasonal influenza epidemics in…

Inference of seasonal and pandemic influenza transmission dynamics.

Author(s): Yang W, Lipsitch M, Shaman JJournal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S APMID: 25730851 March 2015

The inference of key infectious disease epidemiological parameters is critical for characterizing disease spread and devising prevention and containment measures.…

Comparison of filtering methods for the modeling and retrospective forecasting of influenza epidemics.

Author(s): Yang W, Karspeck A, Shaman JJournal: PLoS Comput BiolPMID: 24762780 April 2014

A variety of filtering methods enable the recursive estimation of system state variables and inference of model parameters. These methods…

Influenza forecasting in human populations: a scoping review.

Author(s): Chretien JP, George D, Shaman J, Chitale RA, McKenzie FEJournal: PLoS OnePMID: 24714027 April 2014

Forecasts of influenza activity in human populations could help guide key preparedness tasks. We conducted a scoping review to characterize…

The US 2009 A(H1N1) influenza epidemic: quantifying the impact of school openings on the reproductive number.

Author(s): Huang KE, Lipsitch M, Shaman J, Goldstein EJournal: EpidemiologyPMID: 24434751 March 2014

There is limited information on differences in the dynamics of influenza transmission during time periods when schools are open compared…

The 1918 influenza pandemic in New York City: age-specific timing, mortality, and transmission dynamics.

Author(s): Yang W, Petkova E, Shaman JJournal: Influenza Other Respir VirusesPMID: 24299150 March 2014

The 1918 influenza pandemic caused disproportionately high mortality among certain age groups. The mechanisms underlying these differences are not fully…

Does exposure to poultry and wild fowl confer immunity to H5N1?

Author(s): Wan Y, Jeffrey SJournal: Chin Med J (Engl)PMID: 25266536 January 2014

Predictors of indoor absolute humidity and estimated effects on influenza virus survival in grade schools.

Author(s): Koep TH, Enders FT, Pierret C, Ekker SC, Krageschmidt D, Neff KL, Lipsitch M, Shaman J, Huskins WCJournal: BMC Infect DisPMID: 23383620 February 2013

Low absolute humidity (AH) has been associated with increased influenza virus survival and transmissibility and the onset of seasonal influenza…