Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Impact of human mobility on the emergence of dengue epidemics in Pakistan.

Author(s): Wesolowski A, Qureshi T, Boni MF, Sundsøy PR, Johansson MA, Rasheed SB, Engø-Monsen K, Buckee COJournal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S APMID: 26351662 September 2015

The recent emergence of dengue viruses into new susceptible human populations throughout Asia and the Middle East, driven in part…

Quantifying seasonal population fluxes driving rubella transmission dynamics using mobile phone data.

Author(s): Wesolowski A, Metcalf CJ, Eagle N, Kombich J, Grenfell BT, Bjørnstad ON, Lessler J, Tatem AJ, Buckee COJournal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S APMID: 26283349 September 2015

Changing patterns of human aggregation are thought to drive annual and multiannual outbreaks of infectious diseases, but the paucity of…

Evaluating Spatial Interaction Models for Regional Mobility in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Author(s): Wesolowski A, O'Meara WP, Eagle N, Tatem AJ, Buckee COJournal: PLoS Comput BiolPMID: 26158274 July 2015

Simple spatial interaction models of human mobility based on physical laws have been used extensively in the social, biological, and…

Inference of seasonal and pandemic influenza transmission dynamics.

Author(s): Yang W, Lipsitch M, Shaman JJournal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S APMID: 25730851 March 2015

The inference of key infectious disease epidemiological parameters is critical for characterizing disease spread and devising prevention and containment measures.…

Quantifying the impact of accessibility on preventive healthcare in sub-Saharan Africa using mobile phone data.

Author(s): Wesolowski A, O'Meara WP, Tatem AJ, Ndege S, Eagle N, Buckee COJournal: EpidemiologyPMID: 25643101 March 2015

Poor physical access to health facilities has been identified as an important contributor to reduced uptake of preventive health services…

The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-pandemic influenza connection: coincident or causal?

Author(s): Shaman J, Lipsitch MJournal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S APMID: 22308322 February 2013

We find that the four most recent human influenza pandemics (1918, 1957, 1968, and 2009), all of which were first…

The impact of biases in mobile phone ownership on estimates of human mobility.

Author(s): Wesolowski A, Eagle N, Noor AM, Snow RW, Buckee COJournal: J R Soc InterfacePMID: 23389897 February 2013

Mobile phone data are increasingly being used to quantify the movements of human populations for a wide range of social,…

Predictors of indoor absolute humidity and estimated effects on influenza virus survival in grade schools.

Author(s): Koep TH, Enders FT, Pierret C, Ekker SC, Krageschmidt D, Neff KL, Lipsitch M, Shaman J, Huskins WCJournal: BMC Infect DisPMID: 23383620 February 2013

Low absolute humidity (AH) has been associated with increased influenza virus survival and transmissibility and the onset of seasonal influenza…

The use of census migration data to approximate human movement patterns across temporal scales.

Author(s): Wesolowski A, Buckee CO, Pindolia DK, Eagle N, Smith DL, Garcia AJ, Tatem AJJournal: PLoS OnePMID: 23326367 January 2013

Human movement plays a key role in economies and development, the delivery of services, and the spread of infectious diseases.…

Real-time influenza forecasts during the 2012-2013 season.

Author(s): Shaman J, Karspeck A, Yang W, Tamerius J, Lipsitch MJournal: Nat CommunPMID: 24302074 January 2013

Recently, we developed a seasonal influenza prediction system that uses an advanced data assimilation technique and real-time estimates of influenza…