Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Lockdown measures and relative changes in the age-specific incidence of SARS-CoV-2 in Spain.

Author(s): Martinez de Salazar P, Gomez-Barroso D, Pampaka D, Gil JM, Penalver B, Fernandez-Escobar C, Lipsitch M, Larrauri A, Goldstein E, Hernan MJournal: medRxivPMID: 32637975 July 2020

The first months of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Spain resulted in high incidence and mortality. A national sero-epidemiological survey suggests…

Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt.

Author(s): Gostic KM, McGough L, Baskerville E, Abbott S, Joshi K, Tedijanto C, Kahn R, Niehus R, Hay JA, De Salazar PM, Hellewell J, Meakin S, Munday J, Bosse N, Sherratt K, Thompson RM, White LF, Huisman J, Scire J, Bonhoeffer S, Stadler T, Wallinga J, Funk S, Lipsitch M, Cobey SJournal: medRxivPMID: 32607522 June 2020

Estimation of the effective reproductive number, R , is important for detecting changes in disease transmission over time. During the…

Individual quarantine versus active monitoring of contacts for the mitigation of COVID-19: a modelling study.

Author(s): Peak CM, Kahn R, Grad YH, Childs LM, Lipsitch M, Buckee COJournal: Lancet Infect DisPMID: 32445710 May 2020

Voluntary individual quarantine and voluntary active monitoring of contacts are core disease control strategies for emerging infectious diseases such as…

Distinguishing Causation From Correlation in the Use of Correlates of Protection to Evaluate and Develop Influenza Vaccines.

Author(s): Lim WW, Leung NHL, Sullivan SG, Tchetgen Tchetgen EJ, Cowling BJJournal: Am J EpidemiolPMID: 31598648 March 2020

There is increasing attention to the need to identify new immune markers for the evaluation of existing and new influenza…

Combining genomics and epidemiology to track mumps virus transmission in the United States.

Author(s): Wohl S, Metsky HC, Schaffner SF, Piantadosi A, Burns M, Lewnard JA, Chak B, Krasilnikova LA, Siddle KJ, Matranga CB, Bankamp B, Hennigan S, Sabina B, Byrne EH, McNall RJ, Shah RR, Qu J, Park DJ, Gharib S, Fitzgerald S, Barreira P, Fleming S, Lett S, Rota PA, Madoff LC, Yozwiak NL, MacInnis BL, Smole S, Grad YH, Sabeti PCJournal: PLoS BiolPMID: 32045407 February 2020

Unusually large outbreaks of mumps across the United States in 2016 and 2017 raised questions about the extent of mumps…

Burden of influenza-associated outpatient influenza-like illness consultations in China, 2006-2015: A population-based study.

Author(s): Feng L, Feng S, Chen T, Yang J, Lau YC, Peng Z, Li L, Wang X, Wong JYT, Qin Y, Bond HS, Zhang J, Fang VJ, Zheng J, Wu P, Jiang H, He Y, Cowling BJ, Yu H, Shu Y, Lau EHYJournal: Influenza Other Respir VirusesPMID: 31872547 December 2019

Human influenza virus infections cause a considerable burden of morbidity and mortality worldwide each year. Understanding regional influenza-associated outpatient burden…

A Bootstrap Method for Goodness of Fit and Model Selection with a Single Observed Network.

Author(s): Chen S, Onnela JPJournal: Sci RepPMID: 31723196 November 2019

Network models are applied in numerous domains where data arise from systems of interactions among pairs of actors. Both statistical…

Hospitalizations associated with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and influenza in children, including children diagnosed with asthma.

Author(s): Goldstein E, Finelli L, O'Halloran A, Liu P, Karaca Z, Steiner CA, Viboud C, Lipsitch MJournal: EpidemiologyPMID: 31469696 November 2019

There is uncertainty about the burden of hospitalization associated with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and influenza in children, including those…

Effectiveness of influenza vaccination on influenza-associated hospitalisations over time among children in Hong Kong: a test-negative case-control study.

Author(s): Feng S, Chiu SS, Chan ELY, Kwan MYW, Wong JSC, Leung CW, Chung Lau Y, Sullivan SG, Malik Peiris JS, Cowling BJJournal: Lancet Respir MedPMID: 30442587 August 2019

The protection conferred by influenza vaccination is generally thought to last less than a year, necessitating annual revaccination. However, the…

Determinants of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) prevalence in the Asia-Pacific region: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Author(s): Lim WW, Wu P, Bond HS, Wong JY, Ni K, Seto WH, Jit M, Cowling BJJournal: J Glob Antimicrob ResistPMID: 30145271 August 2019

Published literature on methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) in the Asia-Pacific region was reviewed to document the prevalence of MRSA in…