Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Lockdown measures and relative changes in the age-specific incidence of SARS-CoV-2 in Spain.

Author(s): De Salazar PM, Gomez-Barroso D, Pampaka D, Gil JM, Penalver B, Fernandez-Escobar C, Lipsitch M, Larrauri A, Goldstein E, Hernán MAJournal: Epidemiol InfectPMID: 33081851 October 2020

During the first months of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in 2020, Spain implemented an initial lockdown period on March 15 followed…

Depletion-of-susceptibles bias in influenza vaccine waning studies: how to ensure robust results.

Author(s): Lipsitch M, Goldstein E, Ray GT, Fireman BJournal: Epidemiol InfectPMID: 31774051 November 2019

Vaccine effectiveness studies are subject to biases due to depletion-of-persons at risk of infection, or at especially high risk of…

Modelling the epidemiologic impact of achieving UNAIDS fast-track 90-90-90 and 95-95-95 targets in South Africa.

Author(s): Abuelezam NN, McCormick AW, Surface ED, Fussell T, Freedberg KA, Lipsitch M, Seage GRJournal: Epidemiol InfectPMID: 30869008 August 2019

UNAIDS established fast-track targets of 73% and 86% viral suppression among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-positive individuals by 2020 and 2030,…

On the role of different age groups during pertussis epidemics in California, 2010 and 2014.

Author(s): Mahmud AS, Lipsitch M, Goldstein EJournal: Epidemiol InfectPMID: 31063110 January 2019

There is limited information on the roles of different age groups in propagating pertussis outbreaks, and the temporal changes in…

Measles outbreak risk in Pakistan: exploring the potential of combining vaccination coverage and incidence data with novel data-streams to strengthen control.

Author(s): Wesolowski A, Winter A, Tatem AJ, Qureshi T, Engø-Monsen K, Buckee CO, Cummings DAT, Metcalf CJEJournal: Epidemiol InfectPMID: 29860954 September 2018

Although measles incidence has reached historic lows in many parts of the world, the disease still causes substantial morbidity globally.…