Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Predicting dengue incidence leveraging internet-based data sources. A case study in 20 cities in Brazil.

Author(s): Koplewitz G, Lu F, Clemente L, Buckee C, Santillana MJournal: PLoS Negl Trop DisPMID: 35073316 January 2022

The dengue virus affects millions of people every year worldwide, causing large epidemic outbreaks that disrupt people's lives and severely…

Using heterogeneous data to identify signatures of dengue outbreaks at fine spatio-temporal scales across Brazil.

Author(s): Castro LA, Generous N, Luo W, Pastore Y Piontti A, Martinez K, Gomes MFC, Osthus D, Fairchild G, Ziemann A, Vespignani A, Santillana M, Manore CA, Del Valle SYJournal: PLoS Negl Trop DisPMID: 34019536 May 2021

Dengue virus remains a significant public health challenge in Brazil, and seasonal preparation efforts are hindered by variable intra- and…

Megacities as drivers of national outbreaks: The 2017 chikungunya outbreak in Dhaka, Bangladesh.

Author(s): Mahmud AS, Kabir MI, Engø-Monsen K, Tahmina S, Riaz BK, Hossain MA, Khanom F, Rahman MM, Rahman MK, Sharmin M, Hossain DM, Yasmin S, Ahmed MM, Lusha MAF, Buckee COJournal: PLoS Negl Trop DisPMID: 33529229 February 2021

Several large outbreaks of chikungunya have been reported in the Indian Ocean region in the last decade. In 2017, an…

Analysis of a meningococcal meningitis outbreak in Niger – potential effectiveness of reactive prophylaxis.

Author(s): Hitchings MDT, Coldiron ME, Grais RF, Lipsitch MJournal: PLoS Negl Trop DisPMID: 30856166 May 2019

Seasonal epidemics of bacterial meningitis in the African Meningitis Belt carry a high burden of disease and mortality. Reactive mass…

Prolonging herd immunity to cholera via vaccination: Accounting for human mobility and waning vaccine effects.

Author(s): Peak CM, Reilly AL, Azman AS, Buckee COJournal: PLoS Negl Trop DisPMID: 29489815 February 2018

Oral cholera vaccination is an approach to preventing outbreaks in at-risk settings and controlling cholera in endemic settings. However, vaccine-derived…

Using simulation to aid trial design: Ring-vaccination trials.

Author(s): Hitchings MD, Grais RF, Lipsitch MJournal: PLoS Negl Trop DisPMID: 28328984 March 2017

The 2014-6 West African Ebola epidemic highlights the need for rigorous, rapid clinical trial methods for vaccines. A challenge for…

Potential Biases in Estimating Absolute and Relative Case-Fatality Risks during Outbreaks.

Author(s): Lipsitch M, Donnelly CA, Fraser C, Blake IM, Cori A, Dorigatti I, Ferguson NM, Garske T, Mills HL, Riley S, Van Kerkhove MD, Hernán MAJournal: PLoS Negl Trop DisPMID: 26181387 July 2015

Estimating the case-fatality risk (CFR)-the probability that a person dies from an infection given that they are a case-is a…