Publications – Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

Using heterogeneous data to identify signatures of dengue outbreaks at fine spatio-temporal scales across Brazil.

Author(s): Castro LA, Generous N, Luo W, Pastore Y Piontti A, Martinez K, Gomes MFC, Osthus D, Fairchild G, Ziemann A, Vespignani A, Santillana M, Manore CA, Del Valle SYJournal: PLoS Negl Trop DisPMID: 34019536 May 2021

Dengue virus remains a significant public health challenge in Brazil, and seasonal preparation efforts are hindered by variable intra- and…

Megacities as drivers of national outbreaks: The 2017 chikungunya outbreak in Dhaka, Bangladesh.

Author(s): Mahmud AS, Kabir MI, Engø-Monsen K, Tahmina S, Riaz BK, Hossain MA, Khanom F, Rahman MM, Rahman MK, Sharmin M, Hossain DM, Yasmin S, Ahmed MM, Lusha MAF, Buckee COJournal: PLoS Negl Trop DisPMID: 33529229 February 2021

Several large outbreaks of chikungunya have been reported in the Indian Ocean region in the last decade. In 2017, an…

Analysis of a meningococcal meningitis outbreak in Niger – potential effectiveness of reactive prophylaxis.

Author(s): Hitchings MDT, Coldiron ME, Grais RF, Lipsitch MJournal: PLoS Negl Trop DisPMID: 30856166 May 2019

Seasonal epidemics of bacterial meningitis in the African Meningitis Belt carry a high burden of disease and mortality. Reactive mass…

Prolonging herd immunity to cholera via vaccination: Accounting for human mobility and waning vaccine effects.

Author(s): Peak CM, Reilly AL, Azman AS, Buckee COJournal: PLoS Negl Trop DisPMID: 29489815 February 2018

Oral cholera vaccination is an approach to preventing outbreaks in at-risk settings and controlling cholera in endemic settings. However, vaccine-derived…

Using simulation to aid trial design: Ring-vaccination trials.

Author(s): Hitchings MD, Grais RF, Lipsitch MJournal: PLoS Negl Trop DisPMID: 28328984 March 2017

The 2014-6 West African Ebola epidemic highlights the need for rigorous, rapid clinical trial methods for vaccines. A challenge for…

Potential Biases in Estimating Absolute and Relative Case-Fatality Risks during Outbreaks.

Author(s): Lipsitch M, Donnelly CA, Fraser C, Blake IM, Cori A, Dorigatti I, Ferguson NM, Garske T, Mills HL, Riley S, Van Kerkhove MD, Hernán MAJournal: PLoS Negl Trop DisPMID: 26181387 July 2015

Estimating the case-fatality risk (CFR)-the probability that a person dies from an infection given that they are a case-is a…