Publications

Analysis of a meningococcal meningitis outbreak in Niger – potential effectiveness of reactive prophylaxis.

Author(s): Hitchings MDT, Coldiron ME, Grais RF, Lipsitch M|Journal: PLoS Negl Trop Dis|PMID: 30856166| May 2019

Seasonal epidemics of bacterial meningitis in the African Meningitis Belt carry a high burden of disease and mortality. Reactive mass…

Prolonging herd immunity to cholera via vaccination: Accounting for human mobility and waning vaccine effects.

Author(s): Peak CM, Reilly AL, Azman AS, Buckee CO|Journal: PLoS Negl Trop Dis|PMID: 29489815| February 2018

Oral cholera vaccination is an approach to preventing outbreaks in at-risk settings and controlling cholera in endemic settings. However, vaccine-derived…

Immune status alters the probability of apparent illness due to dengue virus infection: Evidence from a pooled analysis across multiple cohort and cluster studies.

Author(s): Clapham HE, Cummings DAT, Johansson MA|Journal: PLoS Negl Trop Dis|PMID: 28953902| September 2017

Dengue is an important vector-borne pathogen found across much of the world. Many factors complicate our understanding of the relationship…

Temperature modulates dengue virus epidemic growth rates through its effects on reproduction numbers and generation intervals.

Author(s): Siraj AS, Oidtman RJ, Huber JH, Kraemer MUG, Brady OJ, Johansson MA, Perkins TA|Journal: PLoS Negl Trop Dis|PMID: 28723920| July 2017

Epidemic growth rate, r, provides a more complete description of the potential for epidemics than the more commonly studied basic…

Mosquitoes on a plane: Disinsection will not stop the spread of vector-borne pathogens, a simulation study.

Author(s): Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Tatem AJ, Johansson MA|Journal: PLoS Negl Trop Dis|PMID: 28672006| July 2017

Mosquito-borne diseases are increasingly being recognized as global threats, with increased air travel accelerating their occurrence in travelers and their…

Using simulation to aid trial design: Ring-vaccination trials.

Author(s): Hitchings MD, Grais RF, Lipsitch M|Journal: PLoS Negl Trop Dis|PMID: 28328984| March 2017

The 2014-6 West African Ebola epidemic highlights the need for rigorous, rapid clinical trial methods for vaccines. A challenge for…

Potential Biases in Estimating Absolute and Relative Case-Fatality Risks during Outbreaks.

Author(s): Lipsitch M, Donnelly CA, Fraser C, Blake IM, Cori A, Dorigatti I, Ferguson NM, Garske T, Mills HL, Riley S, Van Kerkhove MD, Hernán MA|Journal: PLoS Negl Trop Dis|PMID: 26181387| July 2015

Estimating the case-fatality risk (CFR)-the probability that a person dies from an infection given that they are a case-is a…