CCDD faculty are providing cutting-edge data, tools, and policy recommendations in the fight against COVID-19. Explore what they have shared and discovered below. Entries are listed in reverse chronological order and updated daily.
June 2021 – Present
- TIPICO XI: report of the first series and podcast on infectious diseases and vaccines (aTIPICO)November 11
- Federico Martinón-Torres, Adolfo García-Sastre, Andrew J Pollard, Carlos Martín, Albert Osterhaus, Shamez N Ladhani, Octavio Ramilo, Jose Gómez Rial, Antonio Salas, Francesc X Bosch, María Martinón-Torres, Michael J Mina, James Cherry
- Development of at-home sample collection logistics for large-scale seroprevalence studiesNovember 4
- Aishani V Aatresh, Kate Cummings, Hilary Gerstein, Christopher S Knight, Andreas Limberopolous, Megan A Stasi, Alice Bedugnis, Kenneth A Somberg, Camila T França, Michael J Mina
- Evaluating the reliability of mobility metrics from aggregated mobile phone data as proxies for SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the USA: a population-based studyNovember 2
- Nishant Kishore, Aimee R Taylor, Pierre E Jacob, Navin Vembar, Ted Cohen, Caroline O Buckee, Nicolas A Menzies
- Effectiveness of a third dose of the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine for preventing severe outcomes in Israel: an observational studyOctober 29
- Noam Barda, Noa Dagan, Cyrille Cohen, Miguel A Hernán, Marc Lipsitch, Isaac S Kohane, Ben Y Reis, Ran D Balicer
- Effectiveness of BNT162b2 Vaccine against Delta Variant in AdolescentsOctober 20
- Ben Y Reis, Noam Barda, Michael Leshchinsky, Eldad Kepten, Miguel A Hernán, Marc Lipsitch, Noa Dagan, Ran D Balicer
- Recalibrating SARS-CoV-2 antigen rapid lateral flow test relative sensitivity from validation studies to absolute sensitivity for detecting individuals with live virusOctober 14
- Irene Petersen, Alexander Crozier, Iain Buchan, Michael J Mina, Jonathan W Bartlett
- Towards global control of parasitic diseases in the Covid-19 era: One Health and the future of multisectoral global health governanceOctober 11
- Lawson Ung, J Russell Stothard, Revati Phalkey, Andrew S Azman, James Chodosh, William P Hanage, Claire J Standley
- Infections, hospitalisations, and deaths averted via a nationwide vaccination campaign using the Pfizer–BioNTech BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine in Israel: a retrospective surveillance studySeptember 22
- Eric J Haas, John M McLaughlin, Farid Khan, Frederick J Angulo, Emilia Anis, Marc Lipsitch, Shepherd R Singer, Gabriel Mircus, Nati Brooks, Meir Smaja, Kaijie Pan, Jo Southern, David L Swerdlow, Luis Jodar, Yeheskel Levy, Sharon Alroy-Preis
- Coronavirus Disease 2019 Vaccine Impact on Rates of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Cases and Postvaccination Strain Sequences Among Health Care Workers at an Urban Academic Medical Center: A Prospective Cohort StudySeptember 17
- Tara C Bouton, Sara Lodi, Jacquelyn Turcinovic, Beau Schaeffer, Sarah E Weber, Emily Quinn, Cathy Korn, Jacqueline Steiner, Elissa M Schechter-Perkins, Elizabeth Duffy, Elizabeth J Ragan, Bradford P Taylor, Nancy Miller, Ravin Davidoff, William P Hanage, John Connor, Cassandra Pierre, Karen R Jacobson
- Genomics, social media and mobile phone data enable mapping of SARS-CoV-2 lineages to inform health policy in BangladeshSeptember 8
- Fuqing Wu, Amy Xiao, Jianbo Zhang, Katya Moniz, Noriko Endo, Federica Armas, Richard Bonneau, Megan A Brown, Mary Bushman, Peter R Chai, Claire Duvallet, Timothy B Erickson, Katelyn Foppe, Newsha Ghaeli, Xiaoqiong Gu, William P Hanage, Katherine H Huang, Wei Lin Lee, Mariana Matus, Kyle A McElroy, Jonathan Nagler, Steven F Rhode, Mauricio Santillana, Joshua A Tucker, Stefan Wuertz, Shijie Zhao, Janelle Thompson, Eric J Alm
- Effectiveness of the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine in pregnancySeptember 7
- Noa Dagan, Noam Barda, Tal Biron-Shental, Maya Makov-Assif, Calanit Key, Isaac S Kohane, Miguel A Hernán, Marc Lipsitch, Sonia Hernandez-Diaz, Ben Y Reis, Ran D Balicer
- SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations in wastewater foreshadow dynamics and clinical presentation of new COVID-19 casesSeptember 4
- Fuqing Wu, Amy Xiao, Jianbo Zhang, Katya Moniz, Noriko Endo, Federica Armas, Richard Bonneau, Megan A Brown, Mary Bushman, Peter R Chai, Claire Duvallet, Timothy B Erickson, Katelyn Foppe, Newsha Ghaeli, Xiaoqiong Gu, William P Hanage, Katherine H Huang, Wei Lin Lee, Mariana Matus, Kyle A McElroy, Jonathan Nagler, Steven F Rhode, Mauricio Santillana, Joshua A Tucker, Stefan Wuertz, Shijie Zhao, Janelle Thompson, Eric J Alm
- Estimating vaccine efficacy against transmission via effect on viral loadAugust 30
- Lee Kennedy-Shaffer, Rebecca Kahn, Marc Lipsitch
- SARS-CoV-2 Reinfection: A Case Series from a 12-Month Longitudinal Occupational CohortAugust 28
- Christina D Mack, Caroline Tai, Robby Sikka, Yonatan H Grad, Lisa L Maragakis, Nathan D Grubaugh, Deverick J Anderson, David Ho, Michael Merson, Radhika M Samant, Joseph R Fauver, James Barrett, Leroy Sims, John DiFiori
- Safety of the BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine in a Nationwide SettingAugust 25
- Noam Barda, Noa Dagan, Yatir Ben-Shlomo, Eldad Kepten, Jacob Waxman, Reut Ohana, Miguel A Hernán, Marc Lipsitch, Isaac Kohane, Doron Netzer, Ben Y Reis, Ran D Balicer
- Vaccine nationalism and the dynamics and control of SARS-CoV-2August 17
- Moriah Bergwerk, Tal Gonen, Yaniv Lustig, Sharon Amit, Marc Lipsitch, Carmit Cohen, Michal Mandelboim, Einav Gal Levin, Carmit Rubin, Victoria Indenbaum, Ilana Tal, Malka Zavitan, Neta Zuckerman, Adina Bar-Chaim, Yitshak Kreiss, Gili Regev-Yochay
- Covid-19 Breakthrough Infections in Vaccinated Health Care WorkersJuly 28
- Moriah Bergwerk, Tal Gonen, Yaniv Lustig, Sharon Amit, Marc Lipsitch, Carmit Cohen, Michal Mandelboim, Einav Gal Levin, Carmit Rubin, Victoria Indenbaum, Ilana Tal, Malka Zavitan, Neta Zuckerman, Adina Bar-Chaim, Yitshak Kreiss, Gili Regev-Yochay
- Integrating Health Systems and Science to Respond to COVID-19 in a Model District of Rural Madagascar July 21
- Rado J.L. Rakotonanahary, Herinjaka Andriambolamanana, Benedicte Razafinjato, Estelle M. Raza-Fanomezanjanahary, Vero Ramanandraitsiory, Fiainamirindra Ralaivavikoa, Andritiana Tsirinomen’ny Aina, Lea Rahajatiana, Luc Rakotonirina, Justin Haruna, Laura F. Cordier, Megan B. Murray, Giovanna Cowley, Demetrice Jordan, Mark A. Krasnow, Patricia C. Wright, Thomas R. Gillespie, Michael Docherty, Tara Loyd, Michelle V. Evans, John M. Drake, Calistus N. Ngonghala, Michael L. Rich, Stephen J. Popper, Ann C. Miller, Felana A Ihantamalala, Andriamihaja Randrianambinina, Bruno Ramiandrisoa, Emmanuel Rakotozafy, Albert Rasolofomanana, Germain Rakotozafy, Manuela C. Andriamahatana Vololoniaina, Benjamin Andriamihaja, Andres Garchitorena, Julio Rakotonirina, Alishya Mayfield, Karen E. Finnegan, Matthew H. Bonds
- High coverage COVID-19 mRNA vaccination rapidly controls SARS-CoV-2 transmission in long-term care facilitiesJuly 16
- Pablo M. De Salazar, Nicholas B. Link, Karuna Lamarca, Mauricio Santillana
- The devil in the details: Herd immunity and pandemic responseJuly 14
- Beau Schaeffer, Bradford Taylor, Mary Bushman, William P. Hanage
- Optimal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine allocation using real-time attack-rate estimates in Rhode Island and MassachusettsJuly 13
- Thu Nguyen-Anh Tran, Nathan B. Wikle, Emmy Albert, Haider Inam, Emily Strong, Karel Brinda, Scott M. Leighow, Fuhan Yang, Sajid Hossain, Justin R. Pritchard, Philip Chan, William P. Hanage, Ephraim M. Hanks, Maciej F. Boni
- Cross-sectional assessment of SARS-CoV-2 viral load by symptom status in Massachusetts congregate living facilitiesJuly 13
- Niall J. Lennon, Roby P. Bhattacharyya, Michael J. Mina, Heidi L. Rehm, Deborah T. Hung, Sandra Smole, Ann Woolley, Eric S. Lander, Stacey B. Gabriel
- Viral dynamics of acute SARS-CoV-2 infection and applications to diagnostic and public health strategiesJuly 12
- Stephen M. Kissler, Joseph R. Fauver, Christina Mack, Scott W. Olesen, Caroline Tai, Kristin Y. Shiue, Chaney C. Kalinich, Sarah Jednak, Isabel M. Ott, Chantal B.F. Vogels, Jay Wohlgemuth, James Weisberger, John DiFiori, Deverick J. Anderson, Jimmie Mancell, David D. Ho, Nathan D. Grubaugh, Yonatan H. Grad
- Decreased infectivity following BNT162b2 vaccination: A prospective cohort study in IsraelJuly 7
- Gili Regev-Yochay, Sharon Amit, Moriah Bergwerk, Marc Lipsitch, Eyal Leshem, Rebecca Kahn, Yaniv Lustig, Carmit Cohen, Ram Doolman, Arnona Ziv, Ilya Novikov, Carmit Rubin, Irena Gimpelevich, Amit Huppert, Galia Rahav, Arnon Afek, Yitshak Kreiss
- Wastewater Surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 across 40 U.S. states from February to June 2020July 2
- Fuqing Wu, Amy Xiao, Jianbo Zhang, Katya Moniz, Noriko Endo, Federica Armas, Mary Bushman, Peter R. Chai, Claire Duvallet, Timothy B. Erickson, Katelyn Foppe, Newsha Ghaeli, Xiaoqiong Gu, William P. Hanage, Katherine H. Huang, Wei Lin Lee, Mariana Matus, Kyle A. McElroy, Steven F. Rhode, Stefan Wuertz, Janelle Thompson, Eric J. Alm
- Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Sequence Characteristics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Persistence and ReinfectionJune 27
- Manish C. Choudhary, Charles R. Crain, Xueting Qiu, William Hanage, Jonathan Z. Li
- Estimating the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 in the United States using influenza surveillance, virologic testing, and mortality data: Four complementary approachesJune 17
- Fred S. Lu, Andre T. Nguyen, Nicholas B. Link, Mathieu Molina, Jessica T. Davis, Matteo Chinazzi, Xinyue Xiong, Alessandro Vespignani, Marc Lipsitch, Mauricio Santillana
- Interpreting vaccine efficacy trial results for infection and transmissionJune 12
- Marc Lipsitch, Rebecca Kahn
- Mathematical modeling to inform vaccination strategies and testing approaches for COVID-19 in nursing homesJune 4
- Rebecca Kahn, Inga Holmdahl, Sujan Reddy, John Jernigan, Michael J. Mina, Rachel B. Slayton
- Estimating epidemiologic dynamics from cross-sectional viral load distributionsJune 3
- James A. Hay, Lee Kennedy-Shaffer, Sanjat Kanjilal, Niall J. Lennon, Stacey B. Gabriel, Marc Lipsitch, Michael J. Mina
- Factors Associated With Self-reported Symptoms of Depression Among Adults With and Without a Previous COVID-19 DiagnosisJune 1
- Roy H. Perlis, Mauricio Santillana, Katherine Ognyanova, Jon Green, James Druckman, David Lazer, Matthew A. Baum
April – May 2021
- Syndromic surveillance using monthly aggregate health systems information data: methods with application to COVID-19 in LiberiaMay 31
- Isabel R. Fulcher, Emma Jean Boley, Anuraag Gopaluni, Prince F. Varney, Dale A. Barnhart, Nichole Kulikowski, Jean-Claude Mugunga, Megan Murray, Michael R. Law, Bethany Hedt-Gauthier, the Cross-site COVID-19 Syndromic Surveillance Working Group
- Risk of clinical sequelae after the acute phase of SARS-CoV-2 infection: retrospective cohort studyMay 19
- Sarah E. Daugherty, Yinglong Guo, Kevin Heath, Micah C. Dasmariñas, Karol Giuseppe Jubilo, Jirapat Samranvedhya, Marc Lipsitch, Ken Cohen
- Modeling the impact of racial and ethnic disparities on COVID-19 epidemic dynamicsMay 18
- Kevin C. Ma, Tigist F. Menkir, Stephen M. Kissler, Yonatan H. Grad, Marc Lipsitch
- Investigate the origins of COVID-19May 14
- Jesse D. Bloom, Yujia Alina Chan, Ralph S. Baric, Pamela J. Bjorkman, Sarah Cobey, Benjamin E. Deverman, David N. Fisman, Ravindra Gupta, Akiko Iwasaki, Marc Lipsitch, Ruslan Medzhitov, Richard A. Neher, Rasmus Nielsen, Nick Patterson, Tim Stearns, Erik van Nimwegen, Michael Worobey, David A. Relman
- Coming to America: Genomic surveillance and how B.1.1.7 arrived in the USMay 13
- Xueting Qiu, William P. Hanage, Bradford P. Taylor
- Estimation of Transmission of COVID-19 in Simulated Nursing Homes With Frequent Testing and Immunity-Based StaffingMay 3
- Inga Holmdahl, Rebecca Kahn, James A. Hay, Caroline O. Buckee, Michael J. Mina
- Socioeconomic status determines COVID-19 incidence and related mortality in Santiago, ChileApril 27
- Gonzalo E. Mena, Pamela P. Martinez, Ayesha S. Mahmud, Pablo A. Marquet, Caroline O. Buckee, Mauricio Santillana
- Partial immunity and SARS-CoV-2 mutations – ResponseApril 23
- Chadi M. Saad-Roy, Sinead E. Morris, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Michael J. Mina, Rachel E. Baker, Jeremy Farrar, Edward C. Holmes, Oliver G. Pybus, Andrea L. Graham, Simon A. Levin, Bryan T. Grenfell, Caroline E. Wagner
- Partial immunity and SARS-CoV-2 mutationsApril 23
- William P. Hanage, Colin A. Russell
- SARS-CoV-2 Transmission Risk Among National Basketball Association Players, Staff, and Vendors Exposed to Individuals With Positive Test Results After COVID-19 Recovery During the 2020 Regular and PostseasonApril 22
- Christina D. Mack, John DiFiori, Caroline G. Tai, Kristin Y. Shiue, Yonatan H. Grad, Deverick J. Anderson, David D. Ho, Leroy Sims, Christopher LeMay, Jimmie Mancell, Lisa L. Maragakis
- Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 before and after symptom onset: impact of nonpharmaceutical interventions in ChinaApril 21
- Mary Bushman, Colin Worby, Hsiao-Han Chang, Moritz U.G. Kraemer, William P. Hanage
- Participatory syndromic surveillance as a tool for tracking COVID-19 in BangladeshApril 19
- Ayesha S. Mahmud, Shayan Chowdhury, Kawsar Hossain Sojib, Anir Chowdhury, Md Tanvir Quader, Sangita Paul, Md Sheikh Saidy, Ramiz Uddin, Kenth Engø-Monsen, Caroline O. Buckee
- Concerns about SARS-CoV-2 evolution should not hold back efforts to expand vaccinationApril 1
- Sarah Cobey, Daniel B. Larremore, Yonatan H. Grad, Marc Lipsitch
February – March 2021
- Lockdowns result in changes in human mobility which may impact the epidemiologic dynamics of SARS-CoV-2March 26
- Nishant Kishore, Rebecca Kahn, Pamela P. Martinez, Pablo M. De Salazar, Ayesha S. Mahmud, Caroline O. Buckee
- Missing again: US racial and ethnic data for COVID-19 vaccinationMarch 17
- Nancy Krieger, Pamela D. Waterman, Jarvis T. Chen, Christian Testa, William P. Hanage
- Long-term persistence of RBD-positive memory B cells encoding neutralising antibodies in SARS-CoV-2 infectionMarch 14
- Arunasingam Abayasingam, Harikrishnan Balachandran, David Agapiou, Mohamed Hammoud, Chaturaka Rodrigo, Elizabeth Keoshkerian, Hui Li, Nicholas A. Brasher, Daniel Christ, Romain Rouet, Deborah Burnet, Branka Grubor-Bauk, William Rawlinson, Stuart Turville, Anupriya Aggarwal, Alberto Ospina Stella, Christina Fichter, Fabienne Brilot, Michael Mina, Jeffrey J. Post, Bernard Hudson, Nicky Gilroy, Dominic Dwyer, Sarah C. Sasson, Fiona Tea, Deepti Pilli, Anthony Kelleher, Nicodemus Tedla, Andrew R. Lloyd, Marianne Martinello, Rowena A. Bull
- Perfect as the enemy of good: tracing transmissions with low-sensitivity tests to mitigate SARS-CoV-2 outbreaksMarch 12
- Lee Kennedy-Shaffer, Michael Baym, William P. Hanage
- Epidemiological and evolutionary considerations of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine dosing regimesMarch 9
- Chadi M. Saad-Roy, Sinead E. Morris, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Michael J. Mina, Rachel E. Baker, Jeremy Farrar, Edward C. Holmes, Oliver G. Pybus, Andrea L. Graham, Simon A. Levin, Bryan T. Grenfell, Caroline E. Wagner
- An early warning approach to monitor COVID-19 activity with multiple digital traces in near real timeMarch 5
- Nicole E. Kogan, Leonardo Clemente, Parker Liautaud, Justin Kaashoek, Nicholas B. Link, Andre T. Nguyen, Fred S. Lu, Peter Huybers, Bernd Resch, Clemens Havas, Andreas Petutschnig, Jessica Davis, Matteo Chinazzi, Backtosch Mustafa, William P. Hanage, Alessandro Vespignani, Mauricio Santillana
- Estimating SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence and epidemiological parameters with uncertainty from serological surveysMarch 5
- Daniel B. Larremore, Bailey K. Fosdick, Kate M. Bubar, Sam Zhang, Stephen M. Kissler, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Caroline Buckee, Yonatan H. Grad
- Evaluating the contributions of strategies to prevent SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the healthcare setting: a modelling studyMarch 2
- Joel C. Miller, Xueting Qiu, Derek MacFadden, William P. Hanage
- Association of Acute Symptoms of COVID-19 and Symptoms of Depression in AdultsMarch 1
- Roy H. Perlis, Katherine Ognyanova, Mauricio Santillana, Matthew A. Baum, David Lazer, James Druckman, John Della Volpe
- How to test SARS-CoV-2 vaccines ethically even after one is availableFebruary 26
- Nir Eyal, Marc Lipsitch
- How to detect and reduce potential sources of biases in studies of SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19February 25
- Emma K. Accorsi, Xueting Qiu, Eva Rumpler, Lee Kennedy-Shaffer, Rebecca Kahn, Keya Joshi, Edward Goldstein, Mats J. Stensrud, Rene Niehus, Muge Cevik, Marc Lipsitch
- BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine in a Nationwide Mass Vaccination SettingFebruary 24
- Noa Dagan, Noam Barda, Eldad Kepten, Oren Miron, Shay Perchik, Mark A. Katz, Miguel A. Hernán, Marc Lipsitch, Ben Reis, Ran D. Balicer
- One hundred thirty-three observed COVID-19 deaths in 10 months: unpacking lower than predicted mortality in RwandaFebruary 24
- Clarisse Musanabaganwa, Vincent Cubaka, Etienne Mpabuka, Muhammed Semakula, Ernest Nahayo, Bethany L. Hedt-Gauthier, Kamela CS. Ng, Megan B. Murray, Fredrick Kateera, Leon Mutesa, Sabin Nsanzimana
- Using viral load and epidemic dynamics to optimize pooled testing in resource-constrained settingsFebruary 22
- Brian Cleary, James A. Hay, Brendan Blumenstiel, Maegan Harden, Michelle Cipicchio, Jon Bezney, Brooke Simonton, David Hong, Madikay Senghore, Abdul K. Sesay, Stacey Gabriel, Aviv Regev, Michael J. Mina
- Clarifying the evidence on SARS-CoV-2 antigen rapid tests in public health responses to COVID-19February 17
- Michael J. Mina, Tim E. Peto, Marta García-Fiñana, Malcolm G. Semple, Iain E. Buchan
- The Use and Misuse of Mathematical Modeling for Infectious Disease Policymaking: Lessons for the COVID-19 PandemicFebruary 3
- Lyndon P. James, Joshua A. Salomon, Caroline O. Buckee, Nicolas A. Menzies
December 2020 – January 2021
- SARS-CoV-2 serosurveys in low-income and middle-income countriesJanuary 30
- Jean C. Mugunga, Kartik Tyagi, Daniel Bernal-Serrano, Nidia Correa, Matias Iberico, Frederick Kateera, Fernet Leandre, Megan Murray, Jean C.D. Suffrin, Bethany Hedt-Gauthier
- Variation in human mobility and its impact on the risk of future COVID-19 outbreaks in TaiwanJanuary 27
- Companion interface for geographic distribution of infections
- Meng-Chun Chang, Rebecca Kahn, Yu-An Li, Cheng-Sheng Lee, Caroline O. Buckee, Hsiao-Han Chang
- Model-informed COVID-19 vaccine prioritization strategies by age and serostatusJanuary 21
- Companion vaccine simulation calculator
- Kate M. Bubar, Kyle Reinholt, Stephen M. Kissler, Marc Lipsitch, Sarah Cobey, Yonatan H. Grad, Daniel B. Larremore
- Estimating internationally imported cases during the early COVID-19 pandemicJanuary 12
- Tigist F. Menkir, Taylor Chin, James A. Hay, Erik D. Surface, Pablo M. De Salazar, Caroline O. Buckee, Alexander Watts, Kamran Khan, Ryan Sherbo, Ada W.C. Yan, Michael J. Mina, Marc Lipsitch, Rene Niehus
- Testing SARS-CoV-2 vaccine efficacy through deliberate natural viral exposureJanuary 5
- Nir Eyal, Marc Lipsitch
- Nowcasting for Real-Time COVID-19 Tracking in New York City: Evaluation Study Using Reportable Disease Data From the Early Stages of the PandemicJanuary 4
- Sharon K. Greene, Sarah F. McGough, Gretchen M. Culp, Laura E. Graf, Marc Lipsitch, Nicolas A. Menzies, Rebecca Kahn
- Phase-3 Randomized Controlled Trials on Exclusion of Participants With Kidney Disease in COVID-19January 1
- Api Chewcharat, Yuan-Ting Chang, Meghan E. Sise, Roby P. Bhattacharyya, Megan B. Murray, Sagar U. Nigwekar
- COVID-19 testing: One size does not fit allDecember 21
- Michael J. Mina, Kristian G. Andersen
- The Ethics of Continuing Placebo in SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine TrialsDecember 14
- Annette Rid, Marc Lipsitch, Franklin G. Miller
- Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, RtDecember 10
- Katelyn M. Gostic, Lauren McGough, Edward B. Baskerville, Sam Abbott, Keya Joshi, Christine Tedijanto, Rebecca Kahn, Rene Niehus, James A. Hay, Pablo M. De Salazar, Joel Hellewell, Sophie Meakin, James D. Munday, Nikos I. Bosse, Katharine Sherrat, Robin N. Thompson, Laura F. White, Jana S. Huisman, Jérémie Scire, Sebastian Bonhoeffer, Tanja Stadler, Jacco Wallinga, Sebastian Funk, Marc Lipsitch, Sarah Cobey
- Phylogenetic analysis of SARS-CoV-2 in Boston highlights the impact of superspreading eventsDecember 10
- Jacob E. Lemieux, Katherine J. Siddle, Bennett M. Shaw, Christine Loreth, Stephen F. Schaffner, Adrianne Gladden-Young, Gordon Adams, Timelia Fink, Christopher H. Tomkins-Tinch, Lydia A. Krasilnikova, Katherine C. DeRuff, Melissa Rudy, Matthew R. Bauer, Kim A. Lagerborg, Erica Normandin, Sinéad B. Chapman, Steven K. Reilly, Melis N. Anahtar, Aaron E. Lin, Amber Carter, Cameron Myhrvold, Molly E. Kemball, Sushma Chaluvadi, Caroline Cusick, Katelyn Flowers, Anna Neumann, Felecia Cerrato, Maha Farhat, Damien Slater, Jason B. Harris, John A. Branda, David Hooper, Jessie M. Gaeta, Travis P. Baggett, James O’Connell, Andreas Gnirke, Tami D. Lieberman, Anthony Philippakis, Meagan Burns, Catherine M. Brown, Jeremy Luban, Edward T. Ryan, Sarah E. Turbett, Regina C. LaRocque, William P. Hanage, Glen R. Gallagher, Lawrence C. Madoff, Sandra Smole, Virginia M. Pierce, Eric Rosenberg, Pardis C. Sabeti, Daniel J. Park, Bronwyn L. MacInnis
- Assessing the age specificity of infection fatality rates for COVID-19: systematic review, meta-analysis, and public policy implicationsDecember 8
- Andrew T. Levin, William P. Hanage, Nana Owusu-Boaitey, Kensington B. Cochran, Seamus P. Walsh, Gideon Meyerowitz-Katz
- Persistence and Evolution of SARS-CoV-2 in an Immunocompromised HostDecember 3
- Bina Choi, Manish C. Choudhary, James Regan, Jeffrey A. Sparks, Robert F. Padera, Xueting Qiu, Isaac H. Solomon, Hsiao-Hsuan Kuo, Julie Boucau, Kathryn Bowman, U. Das Adhikari, Marisa L. Winkler, Alisa A. Mueller, Tiffany Y-T. Hsu, Michaël Desjardins, Lindsey R. Baden, Brian T. Chan, Bruce D. Walker, Mathias Lichterfeld, Manfred Brigl, Douglas S. Kwon, Sanjat Kanjilal, Eugene T. Richardson, A. Helena Jonsson, Galit Alter, Amy K. Barczak, William P. Hanage, Xu G. Yu, Gaurav D. Gaiha, Michael S. Seaman, Manuela Cernadas, Jonathan Z. Li
October – November 2020
- Test sensitivity is secondary to frequency and turnaround time for COVID-19 screeningNovember 20
- Daniel B. Larremore, Bryan Wilder, Evan Lester, Soraya Shehata, James M. Burke, James A. Hay, Milind Tambe, Michael J. Mina, Roy Parker
- Characteristics of Clinically Asymptomatic Patients with SARS-CoV-2 Infections, Case SeriesNovember 17
- Miki Goldenfeld, Ran Nir-Paz, Gadi Segal, Elhanan Bar-On, Ella Mendelson, Michal Mandelboim, Dana G. Wolf, Edith M. Marom, Tomer Israely, Hagit Achdout, Galia Rahav, William Hanage, Gili Regev-Yochay
- Big data and simple models used to track the spread of COVID-19 in citiesNovember 10
- Kevin C. Ma, Marc Lipsitch
- COVID-19: US federal accountability for entry, spread, and inequities—lessons for the futureNovember 2
- William P. Hanage, Christian Testa, Jarvis T. Chen, Letitia Davis, Elise Pechter, Peg Seminario, Mauricio Santillana, Nancy Krieger
- Measuring mobility to monitor travel and physical distancing interventions: a common framework for mobile phone data analysisNovember 1
- Nishant Kishore, Mathew V. Kiang, Kenth Engø-Monsen, Navin Vembar, Andrew Schroeder, Satchit Balsari, Caroline O. Buckee
- On the effect of age on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in households, schools and the communityOctober 29
- Edward Goldstein, Marc Lipsitch, Muge Cevik
- US racial and ethnic data for COVID-19 cases: still missing in actionOctober 22
- Nancy Krieger, Christian Testa, William P. Hanage, Jarvis T. Chen
- Understanding COVID-19 vaccine efficacyOctober 21
- Marc Lipsitch, Natalie E. Dean
- Lockdown measures and relative changes in the age-specific incidence of SARS-CoV-2 in SpainOctober 20
- P.M. De Salazar, D. Gómez-Barroso, D. Pampaka, J.M. Gil, B. Peñalver, C. Fernández-Escobar, M. Lipsitch, A. Larrauri, E. Goldstein, M.A. Hernán
- Scientific consensus on the COVID-19 pandemic: we need to act nowOctober 15
- Nisreen A. Alwan, Rochelle Ann Burgess, Simon Ashworth, Rupert Beale, Nahid Bhadelia, Debby Bogaert, Jennifer Dowd, Isabella Eckerle, Lynn R. Goldman, Trisha Greenhalgh, Deepti Gurdasani, Adam Hamdy, William P. Hanage, Emma B. Hodcroft, Zoë Hyde, Paul Kellam, Michelle Kelly-Irving, Florian Krammer, Marc Lipsitch, Alan McNally, Martin McKee, Ali Nouri, Dominic Pimenta, Viola Priesemann, Harry Rutter, Joshua Silver, Devi Sridhar, Charles Swanton, Rochelle, P. Walensky, Gavin Yamey, Hisham Ziauddeen
- The role of environmental factors on transmission rates of the COVID-19 outbreak: an initial assessment in two spatial scalesOctober 12
- Canelle Poirier, Wei Luo, Maimuna S. Majumder, Dianbo Liu, Kenneth D. Mandl, Todd A. Mooring, Mauricio Santillana
- Cross-reactive memory T cells and herd immunity to SARS-CoV-2October 6
- Marc Lipsitch, Yonatan H. Grad, Alessandro Sette, Shane Crotty
August – September 2020
- The use of mobile phone data to inform analysis of COVID-19 pandemic epidemiologySeptember 30
- Kyra H. Grantz, Hannah R. Meredith, Derek A. T. Cummings, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Bryan T. Grenfell, John R. Giles, Shruti Mehta, Sunil Solomon, Alain Labrique, Nishant Kishore, Caroline O. Buckee, Amy Wesolowski
- Rethinking Covid-19 Test Sensitivity — A Strategy for ContainmentSeptember 30
- Michael J. Mina, Roy Parker, Daniel B. Larremore
- SARS-CoV-2 Transmission Dynamics Should Inform PolicySeptember 23
- Muge Cevik, Julia Marcus, Caroline Buckee, Tara Smith
- Immune life history, vaccination, and the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 over the next 5 yearsSeptember 21
- Chadi M. Saad-Roy, Caroline E. Wagner, Rachel E. Baker, Sinead E. Morris, Jeremy Farrar, Andrea L. Graham, Simon A. Levin, Michael J. Mina, Jessica E. Metcalf, Bryan T. Grenfell
- Reductions in commuting mobility correlate with geographic differences in SARS-CoV-2 prevalence in New York CitySeptember 16
- Stephen M. Kissler, Nishant Kishore, Malavika Prabhu, Dena Goffman, Yaakov Beilin, Ruth Landau, Cynthia Gyamfi-Bannerman, Brian T. Bateman, Jon Snyder, Armin S. Razavi, Daniel Katz, Jonathan Gal, Angela Bianco, Joanne Stone, Daniel Larremore, Caroline O. Buckee, Yonatan H. Grad
- Every Body Counts: Measuring Mortality From the COVID-19 PandemicSeptember 11
- Mathew V. Kiang, Rafael A. Irizarry, Caroline O. Buckee, Satchit Balsari
- Individual quarantine versus active monitoring of contacts for the mitigation of COVID-19: a modelling studySeptember 1
- Corey M. Peak, Rebecca Kahn, Yonatan H. Grad, Lauren M. Childs, Ruoran Li, Marc Lipsitch, Caroline O. Buckee
- US-county level variation in intersecting individual, household and community characteristics relevant to COVID-19 and planning an equitable response: a cross-sectional analysisSeptember 1
- Companion application
- Taylor Chin, Rebecca Kahn, Ruoran Li, Jarvis T. Chen, Nancy Krieger, Caroline O. Buckee, Satchit Balsari, Mathew V. Kiang
- Potential Biases Arising from Epidemic Dynamics in Observational Seroprotection StudiesSeptember 1
- Rebecca Kahn, Lee Kennedy-Shaffer, Yonatan H. Grad, James M. Robins, Marc Lipsitch
- Real-Time Forecasting of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Chinese Provinces: Machine Learning Approach Using Novel Digital Data and Estimates From Mechanistic ModelsAugust 17
- Canelle Poirier, Dianbo Liu, Leonardo Clemente, Xiyu Ding, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica Davis, Alessandro Vespignani, Mauricio Santillana
- Individual model forecasts can be misleading, but together they are usefulAugust 11
- Caroline O. Buckee, Michael A. Johansson
- Seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in Hong Kong returneesAugust 1
- William P. Hanage, Victor I. Vincent, Nicola M. Low
June – July 2020
- Reopening Primary Schools during the PandemicJuly 29
- Meira Levinson, Muge Cevik, Marc Lipsitch
- Opinion: It’s ethical to test promising coronavirus vaccines against less-promising onesJuly 22
- Nir Eyal, Marc Lipsitch
- SARS-CoV-2 Titers in Wastewater Are Higher than Expected from Clinically Confirmed CasesJuly 21
- Fuqing Wu, Jianbo Zhang, Amy Xiao, Xiaoqiong Gu, Wei Lin Lee, Federica Armas, Kathryn Kauffman, William Hanage, Mariana Matus, Newsha Ghaeli, Noriko Endo, Claire Duvallet, Mathilde Poyet, Katya Moniz, Alex D. Washburne, Timothy B. Erickson, Peter R. Chai, Janelle Thompson, Eric J. Alm
- Implications of test characteristics and population seroprevalence on ‘immune passport’ strategiesJuly 20
- Daniel B. Larremore, Kate M. Bubar, Yonatan H. Grad
- Making sense of mutation: what D614G means for the COVID-19 pandemic remains unclearJuly 2
- Nathan D. Grubaugh, William P. Hanage, Angela L. Rasmussen
- Identifying Locations with Possible Undetected Imported Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Cases by Using Importation PredictionsJuly 1
- Pablo Martinez De Salazar, René Niehus, Aimee Taylor, Caroline O’Flaherty Buckee, Marc Lipsitch
- Seroepidemiologic Study Designs for Determining SARS-COV-2 Transmission and ImmunityJune 16
- Hannah Clapham, James Hay, Isobel Routledge, Saki Takahashi, Marc Choisy, Derek Cummings, Bryan Grenfell, C. Jessica E Metcalf, Michael Mina, Isabel Rodriguez Barraquer, Henrik Salje, Clarence C. Tam
- Patients With Cancer Appear More Vulnerable to SARS-CoV-2: A Multicenter Study During the COVID-19 OutbreakJune 10
- Mengyuan Dai, Dianbo Liu, Miao Liu, Fuxiang Zhou, Guiling Li, Zhen Chen, Zhian Zhang, Hua You, Meng Wu, Qichao Zheng, Yong Xiong, Huihua Xiong, Chun Wang, Changchun Chen, Fei Xiong, Yan Zhang, Yaqin Peng, Siping Ge, Bo Zhen, Tingting Yu, Ling Wang, Hua Wang, Yu Liu, Yeshan Chen, Junhua Mei, Xiaojia Gao, Zhuyan Li, Lijuan Gan, Can He, Zhen Li, Yuying Shi, Yuwen Qi, Jing Yang, Daniel G. Tenen, Li Chai, Lorelei A. Mucci, Mauricio Santillana and Hongbing Cai
- A Global Immunological Observatory to meet a time of pandemicsJune 8
- Michael J. Mina, C. Jessica E Metcalf, Adrian B. McDermott, Daniel C. Douek, Jeremy Farrar, Bryan T. Grenfell
- Building an International Consortium for Tracking Coronavirus Health StatusJune 2
- Eran Segal, Feng Zhang, Xihong Lin, Gary King, Ophir Shalem, Smadar Shilo, William E. Allen, Faisal Alquaddoomi, Han Altae-Tran, Simon Anders, Ran Balicer, Tal Bauman, Ximena Bonilla, Gisel Booman, Andrew T. Chan, Ori Cohen, Silvano Coletti, Natalie Davidson, Yuval Dor, David A. Drew, Olivier Elemento, Georgina Evans, Phil Ewels, Joshua Gale, Amir Gavrieli, Benjamin Geiger, Yonatan H. Grad, et al.
April – May 2020
- COVID-19 Preparedness in Malawi: A National Facility-Based Critical Care AssessmentMay 25
- Paul D. Sonenthal, Jones Masiye, Noel Kasomekera, Regan H. Marsh, Emily B. Wroe, Kirstin W. Scott, Ruoran Li, Megan B. Murray, Alice Bukhman, Emilia Connolly, Tadala Minyaliwa, Martha Katete, Grace Banda, Mulinda Nyirenda, Shada A. Rouhani
- Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic periodMay 22
- Stephen M. Kissler, Christine Tedijanto, Edward Goldstein, Yonatan H. Grad, Marc Lipsitch
- To Interpret the SARS-CoV-2 Test, Consider the Cycle Threshold ValueMay 21
- Michael Tom, Michael Mina
- Phylogenetic interpretation during outbreaks requires cautionMay 19
- Ch. Julián Villabona-Arenas, William P. Hanage, Damien C. Tully
- Serology for SARS-CoV-2: Apprehensions, opportunities, and the path forwardMay 19
- J.E. Bryant, A.S. Azman, M.J. Ferrari, B.F. Arnold, M.F. Boni, Y. Boum, K. Hayford, F.J. Luquero, M.J. Mina, I. Rodriguez-Barraquer, J.T. Wu, D. Wade, G. Vernet, D.T. Leung
- Wrong but Useful — What COVID-19 Epidemiologic Models Can and Cannot Tell UsMay 15
- Inga Holmdahl, Caroline Buckee
- Leveraging Africa’s preparedness towards the next phase of the COVID-19 pandemic May 14
- Madikay Senghore, Merveille K. Savi, Bénédicte Gnangnon, William P. Hanage, Iruka N. Okeke
- Human Challenge Studies to Accelerate Coronavirus Vaccine LicensureMay 11
- Nir Eyal, Marc Lipsitch, Peter G. Smith
- Testing COVID-19 therapies to prevent progression of mild diseaseMay 6
- Marc Lipsitch, Stanley Perlman, Matthew K. Waldor
- Estimated Demand for US Hospital Inpatient and Intensive Care Unit Beds for Patients With COVID-19 Based on Comparisons With Wuhan and Guangzhou, ChinaMay 6
- Ruoran Li, Caitlin Rivers, Qi Tan, Megan B. Murray, Eric Toner, Marc Lipsitch
- Effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions to contain COVID-19 in ChinaMay 4
- Shengjie Lai, Nick W. Ruktanonchai, Liangcai Zhou, Olivia Prosper, Wei Luo, Jessica R. Floyd, Amy Wesolowski, Mauricio Santillana, Chi Zhang, Xiangjun Du, Hongjie Yu, Andrew J. Tatem
- The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in ChinaMay 1
- Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Chia-Hung Yang, Bernardo Gutierrez, Chieh-Hsi Wu, Brennan Klein, David M. Pigott, Open COVID-19 Data Working Group, Louis du Plessis, Nuno R. Faria, Ruoran Li, William P. Hanage, John S. Brownstein, Maylis Layan, Alessandro Vespignani, Huaiyu Tian, Christopher Dye, Oliver G. Pybus, Samuel V. Scarpino
- Reopening ScenariosMay 1
- David Baqaee, Emmanuel Farhi, Michael J. Mina, James H. Stock
- Temporal rise in the proportion of younger adults and older adolescents among coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases following the introduction of physical distancing measures, Germany, March to April 2020April 30
- Edward Goldstein, Marc Lipsitch
- Coronavirus: sampling now for future analysisApril 28
- David Thaler, Marc Lipsitch
- Antibody testing will enhance the power and accuracy of COVID-19-prevention trialsApril 27
- Marc Lipsitch, Rebecca Kahn, Michael Mina
- COVID-19 Positive Cases, Evidence on the Time Evolution of the Epidemic or An Indicator of Local Testing Capabilities? A Case Study in the United StatesApril 14
- Justin Kaashoek, Mauricio Santillana
- Aggregated mobility data could help fight COVID-19April 10
- Caroline O. Buckee, Satchit Balsari, Jennifer Chan, Mercè Crosas, Francesca Dominici, Urs Gasser, Yonatan H. Grad, Bryan Grenfell, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Marc Lipsitch, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Lauren Ancel Meyers, T. Alex Perkins, Mauricio Santillana, et al.
- Nowcasting by Bayesian Smoothing: A flexible, generalizable model for real-time epidemic trackingApril 6
- Bayesian Nowcasting R Package (“NobBS”)
- Sarah F. McGough, Michael A. Johansson, Marc Lipsitch, Nicolas A. Menzies
- Using observational data to quantify bias of traveller-derived COVID-19 prevalence estimates in Wuhan, ChinaApril 1
- Rene Niehus, Pablo M. De Salazar, Aimee R. Taylor, Marc Lipsitch
- Considering Public Purpose in the Time of COVID-19April 1
- Colin O’Leary, Amritha Jayanti, Michael Mina
February – March 2020
- Estimating case fatality rates of COVID-19March 31
- Marc Lipsitch
- Defining the Epidemiology of COVID-19 — Studies NeededMarch 26
- Marc Lipsitch, David L. Swerdlow, Lyn Finelli
- Estimating clinical severity of COVID-19 from the transmission dynamics in Wuhan, ChinaMarch 19
- Addendum
- Joseph T. Wu, Kathy Leung, Mary Bushman, Nishant Kishore, Rene Niehus, Pablo M. de Salazar, Benjamin J. Cowling, Marc Lipsitch, Gabriel M. Leung
- Improving epidemic surveillance and response: big data is dead, long live big dataMarch 17
- Caroline Buckee
- The Role of Environmental Factors on Transmission Rates of the COVID-19 Outbreak: An Initial Assessment in Two Spatial ScalesMarch 12
- Canelle Poirier, Wei Luo, Maimuna S. Majumder, Dianbo Liu, Kenneth Mandl, Todd Mooring, Mauricio Santillana
- Scenario exploration for SARS-CoV-2 infectionsFebruary 25
- Developed by the Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health: Rebecca Kahn, Stephen Kissler, Nishant Kishore, Marc Lipsitch, in collaboration with Health Department colleagues
Blogs
- COVID-19 Vaccines and Herd Immunity
- Marc Lipsitch
- Declaration of Dr. Marc Lipsitch and Emma Accorsi regarding Oregon Temporary rule 437-001-0749
- Marc Lipsitch, Emma Accorsi
- Protecting the Public’s Health During Protests Against Systemic Racism
- CCDD students, post-docs, faculty, and alumni
- Mutation, Adaptation, and Virus Genomes – A Primer for the Public
- W.P. Hanage, Xueting Qiu
- Translation in Mandarin available here.
- nCOV – Making Sense of an Epidemic
- Seasonality of SARS-CoV-2: Will COVID-19 go away on its own in warmer weather?
- Marc Lipsitch
- Journalists and Scientists – Working Together on COVID-19
- William Hanage, Marc Lipsitch